Missouri Science & Technology
Model Outputs
2021-2022
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 954 (#547) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 952 (#500) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 998 (#236) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +0.9 (#484) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -2.3 (#379) | HCA +2.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.486 (#281) | AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 69.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.449 (#355) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.456 (#336) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 905 (#457) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-16 | @ | Bradley Braves | L | 66 - 92 |
2022 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Julien Smith
|
G | 1 | 32.0 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | -61 | -3.2 | -9.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.41 | 0 | 0 |
Dylan Singleton
|
G | 1 | 22.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 153 | 4.6 | 10.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 | 0 | 0 |
M. Kaba-Camera
|
- | 1 | 27.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.24 | 0 | 0 |
Kaden Froebe
|
G | 1 | 31.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.47 | 0 | 0 |
K. Legardy
|
- | 1 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.59 | 0 | 0 |
Kelly Vaughn
|
G | 1 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Micah Johnson
|
F | 1 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 239 | 6.5 | 13.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.39 | 0 | 0 |
Ryan Parker
|
F | 1 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.57 | 0 | 0 |
DJ Pitia
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
K. Renkoski
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Andrew Ellinghouse
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Michael Appiah Brefo
|
F | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
S. Anthony
|
- | 1 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG