Mississippi Valley State
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 536 (#365) | Preseason prior 540 (returning production + recruiting): last season 642, returning +14, transfers -72, freshmen -44 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 771 (#364) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 775 (#364) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -19.3 (#358) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -19.2 (#358) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.058 (#358) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.159 (#361) | AdjNet -18.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.159 (#361) | AdjNet -18.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.240 (#356) | AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 73.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.243 (#356) | AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 73.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.169 (#363) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.169 (#363) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 713 (#365) | RD 181 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.152 (#364) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-06 | @ | Oklahoma Sooners | L | 57 - 84 |
| 2026-11-09 | @ | Washington Huskies | L | 64 - 77 |
| 2026-11-11 | @ | Oregon Ducks | L | 66 - 100 |
| 2026-11-13 | @ | Oregon State Beavers | L | 65 - 81 |
| 2026-11-20 | @ | Arkansas Razorbacks | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions and box-score rates; an unlisted position is inferred from those rates, and missing rates are treated as zero. Legend numbers are each player's share of recorded roster minutes, scaled to five players' regulation minutes; they can differ from minutes per game in the roster below, especially when players miss games or coverage is incomplete. Each position column totals one regulation game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Matt Anglo
|
G | 4 | 27.8 | 12.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 10.2 | 4.5 | -71 | 3 | -23.7 | -33.5 | 39.0 | 75.0 | 78.9 | -1.73 | 50.6 | 42.7 |
AJ Abrams
|
G | 4 | 23.2 | 11.5 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 8.0 | 6.8 | -31 | 3 | -10.3 | -20.0 | 53.1 | 40.0 | 66.7 | -0.42 | 59.6 | 56.2 |
Gabriel Martinez
|
PF | 4 | 29.0 | 9.8 | 3.5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 6.2 | -49 | 3 | -16.3 | -20.8 | 43.8 | 38.9 | 100.0 | -0.77 | 57.8 | 54.7 |
Tymias Williams
|
F | 4 | 34.2 | 9.2 | 7.8 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 9.2 | 10.5 | -66 | 3 | -22.0 | -24.7 | 32.4 | 9.1 | 75.0 | -1.01 | 42.0 | 33.8 |
Caleb Cameron
|
G | 4 | 27.0 | 6.0 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 6.5 | 5.2 | -54 | 3 | -18.0 | -25.3 | 42.3 | 25.0 | 20.0 | -1.13 | 42.6 | 44.2 |
TJ James Jr.
|
G | 4 | 22.2 | 5.8 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 6.5 | 1.2 | -44 | 3 | -14.7 | -32.1 | 30.8 | 30.4 | 0 | -1.18 | 44.2 | 44.2 |
Eli Pippins
|
PG | 4 | 22.5 | 5.8 | 1.2 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 3.0 | -24 | 3 | -8.0 | -13.1 | 30.8 | 18.2 | 62.5 | -0.08 | 39.0 | 34.6 |
Tianhao Wu
|
C | 4 | 13.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 0.5 | -31 | 3 | -10.3 | -32.1 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 72.7 | -0.9 | 36.1 | 11.1 |
Chance Sutton
|
F | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Tarique Foster
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Mykayle McCoy
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Qingfang Pang
|
PF | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Harvey Wilson Jr.
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
229 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
AJ AbramsGabriel MartinezMatt AngloCaleb CameronTJ James Jr.Eli Pippins
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 43-66 | 65.2 | 86 | AJ Abrams 28% (24 pts) | Caleb Cameron 21% (18 pts) | AJ Abrams 17% (4 misses) | Tymias Williams 17% (4 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 14-44 | 31.8 | 28 | Matt Anglo 29% (8 pts) | Gabriel Martinez 21% (6 pts) | Matt Anglo 27% (8 misses) | AJ Abrams 20% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 5-14 | 35.7 | 10 | Eli Pippins 40% (4 pts) | Matt Anglo 40% (4 pts) | Caleb Cameron 33% (3 misses) | Matt Anglo 33% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-6 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Eli Pippins 33% (2 misses) | Matt Anglo 33% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 2-21 | 9.5 | 4 | Matt Anglo 100% (4 pts) | - | Matt Anglo 42% (8 misses) | Tymias Williams 26% (5 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 0-3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | TJ James Jr. 67% (2 misses) | AJ Abrams 33% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 0-1 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Gabriel Martinez 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Above-break 3 left | 13-37 | 35.1 | 39 | Gabriel Martinez 38% (15 pts) | Matt Anglo 15% (6 pts) | TJ James Jr. 25% (6 misses) | Gabriel Martinez 21% (5 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 4-13 | 30.8 | 12 | Eli Pippins 25% (3 pts) | Gabriel Martinez 25% (3 pts) | Eli Pippins 22% (2 misses) | TJ James Jr. 22% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 6-24 | 25.0 | 18 | TJ James Jr. 67% (12 pts) | AJ Abrams 17% (3 pts) | TJ James Jr. 33% (6 misses) | Gabriel Martinez 22% (4 misses) |