Mississippi College Choctaws
Model Outputs
2021-2022
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 913 (#646) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 899 (#673) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 996 (#328) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -11.6 (#667) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.5 (#420) | HCA +2.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.477 (#336) | AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 69.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.369 (#415) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.389 (#403) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 942 (#297) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-30 | @ | Samford Bulldogs | L | 58 - 83 |
2022 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Z. Jones
|
F | 1 | 28.0 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.68 | 64.4 | 66.7 |
G. Smith
|
- | 1 | 17.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | -9 | -0.4 | -0.7 | 85.7 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 85.7 | 85.7 |
T. Thompson
|
- | 1 | 26.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | -3.0 | -29 | -1.6 | -7.0 | 23.1 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.08 | 36.0 | 30.8 |
J. Jordan
|
- | 1 | 29.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | -45 | -7.5 | -14.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.13 | 58.0 | 50.0 |
M. Miller
|
G | 1 | 34.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 44 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 23.1 | 16.7 | 0 | 0.4 | 26.9 | 26.9 |
D. Carter
|
- | 1 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 167 | 5.6 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.96 | 25.8 | 0.0 |
B. Boston
|
F | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
A. Cowart Jr.
|
G | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -68 | -2.2 | -3.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2.01 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
T. Thurman
|
- | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG