Mission U.
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2020 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 976 (#289) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1182 (#63) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1023 (#279) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +19.6 (#32) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +9.9 (#211) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.874 (#257) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.728 (#345) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.817 (#261) | AdjNet +13.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.797 (#276) | AdjNet +11.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.818 (#262) | AdjNet +12.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.799 (#273) | AdjNet +11.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.672 (#258) | AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 59.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.663 (#267) | AdjO 51.5 | AdjD 44.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.713 (#113) | AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 57.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.745 (#170) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.738 (#172) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1075 (#217) | RD 101 | GP 22 |
2020 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-11-12 | @ | Ohio Wesleyan | W | 89 - 74 |
| 2019-11-16 | @ | Oberlin | W | 65 - 51 |
| 2019-11-17 | @ | Wooster | W | 90 - 73 |
| 2019-11-22 | vs | Juniata | W | 91 - 67 |
| 2019-11-23 | vs | Hope | L | 48 - 82 |
| 2019-11-26 | vs | Kenyon | W | 79 - 61 |
| 2019-12-04 | vs | John Carroll | L | 65 - 78 |
| 2019-12-07 | @ | Ohio Northern | L | 57 - 58 |
| 2019-12-14 | @ | Wilmington (OH) | L | 93 - 102 |
| 2019-12-17 | @ | Carnegie Mellon | W | 77 - 63 |
| 2020-01-04 | @ | Heidelberg | L | 60 - 64 |
| 2020-01-08 | vs | Baldwin Wallace | L | 49 - 71 |
| 2020-01-11 | @ | Capital | W | 68 - 65 |
| 2020-01-15 | vs | Muskingum | W | 100 - 70 |
| 2020-01-18 | vs | Otterbein | W | 66 - 64 |
| 2020-01-22 | @ | Marietta | L | 72 - 80 |
| 2020-01-25 | vs | Wilmington (OH) | W | 79 - 77 |
| 2020-01-29 | @ | John Carroll | L | 63 - 67 |
| 2020-02-01 | vs | Ohio Northern | L | 63 - 70 |
| 2020-02-05 | @ | Muskingum | W | 100 - 75 |
| 2020-02-08 | @ | Otterbein | W | 68 - 66 |
| 2020-02-12 | vs | Marietta | W | 82 - 75 |
| 2020-02-15 | vs | Heidelberg | W | 82 - 58 |
| 2020-02-19 | @ | Baldwin Wallace | L | 53 - 80 |
| 2020-02-22 | vs | Capital | L | 53 - 65 |
| 2020-02-25 | @ | Ohio Northern | L | 50 - 58 |
2020 Roster
No roster data available for this season.