Mission U.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 962 (#306) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 992 (#333) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -28.9 (#570) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.032 (#576) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.195 (#556) | AdjNet -12.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.184 (#563) | AdjNet -12.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.255 (#581) | AdjO 81.4 | AdjD 93.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.364 (#487) | AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 79.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.161 (#557) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.196 (#541) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 907 (#352) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli'jah Smith | - | 1 | 21.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 63 | 3.0 | 35.9 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.46 | 36.3 | 25.0 |
| Sterling Vinson | - | 1 | 22.9 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | - | 76.5 | 70.0 |
| Quinn Kusgen | - | 1 | 21.5 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 80.0 | 80.0 |
| Lawson Beem | - | 1 | 16.2 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 41.0 | 37.5 |
| Arsene Sammy Ishimwe | - | 1 | 15.5 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | -7.0 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 20.0 | 50.0 | - | 29.1 | 25.0 |
| Raushaun Fowler | - | 1 | 12.4 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | - | 104.2 | 150.0 |
| Jacques Thomas | - | 1 | 17.2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | -3.0 | -36 | -7.2 | -65.5 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1.65 | 10.7 | 12.5 |
| Ryder Williams | - | 1 | 11.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 55 | 4.6 | 63.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.82 | 29.1 | 33.3 |
| Peyton G. G. | - | 1 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ty O'Neal | - | 1 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG