Mission U.
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 962 (#306) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 992 (#333) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -28.9 (#570) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.032 (#576) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.195 (#556) | AdjNet -12.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.184 (#563) | AdjNet -12.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.255 (#581) | AdjO 81.4 | AdjD 93.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.364 (#487) | AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 79.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.161 (#557) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.196 (#541) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 907 (#348) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-14 | @ | Harding | L | 86 - 102 |
| 2023-12-05 | @ | Missouri S&T | L | 91 - 102 |
| 2024-01-01 | @ | McKendree | L | 73 - 107 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Parker | - | 1 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 6 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 72.7 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.43 | 84.2 | 81.8 |
| Sam Smith | - | 1 | 24.0 | 20.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 16.0 | 14.0 | -1 | -0.2 | -0.4 | 62.5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.33 | 60.8 | 62.5 |
| Stetson Smithson | - | 1 | 23.0 | 20.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 8 | 1.6 | 14.1 | 70.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.2 | 85.0 | 80.0 |
| Hayden Meakes | - | 1 | 20.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 22 | 4.4 | 23.1 | 42.9 | 44.4 | 0 | 0.13 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Kevin Stein | - | 1 | 20.0 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 39 | 7.8 | 46.5 | 71.4 | 80.0 | 100.0 | 0.07 | 101.5 | 100.0 |
| Milos Vicentic | - | 1 | 20.0 | 16.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 44 | 8.8 | 23.6 | 54.5 | 75.0 | 100.0 | 0.55 | 69.9 | 68.2 |
| Caleb Zurliene | - | 1 | 20.0 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 17.0 | 11 | 1.8 | 7.0 | 85.7 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0.32 | 95.2 | 100.0 |
| Keyln McBride | - | 1 | 32.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 62 | 4.8 | 19.0 | 55.6 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.93 | 70.9 | 66.7 |
| Brahm Harris | - | 1 | 23.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | -12 | -3.0 | -4.1 | 38.5 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 0.34 | 44.6 | 42.3 |
| Abou Gbane | - | 1 | 16.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | -5 | -1.2 | -3.0 | 55.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.34 | 55.6 | 55.6 |
| Rylie Marshall | - | 1 | 21.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | -3 | -0.5 | -1.1 | 44.4 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.14 | 55.6 | 55.6 |
| Sam Henderson | - | 1 | 29.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 | -25 | -4.2 | -9.1 | 44.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.11 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Malcolm Davis | - | 1 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 9 | 0.6 | 18.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.24 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Joey Niesman | - | 1 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | -10 | -2.0 | -5.7 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 0 | 0.4 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Daulton Burgner | - | 1 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -3 | -3.0 | -22.8 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.94 | 69.4 | 100.0 |
| Aleksandar Davitkov | - | 1 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 11 | 3.7 | 27.4 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.32 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Robert Chougkaz | - | 1 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| J.T. Smith | - | 1 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 22 | 5.5 | 12.5 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.76 | 43.6 | 33.3 |
| Drew Kysar | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -3 | -3.0 | -22.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.94 | 21.0 | 0.0 |
| Landon Zurliene | - | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | -2 | -1.0 | -15.2 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.94 | 29.1 | 33.3 |
| Kyle Elmore | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 1 | 1.0 | 26.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.56 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Luka Mateski | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22 | 1.7 | 24.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Porter | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -3 | -3.0 | -22.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.94 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Wyatt Gilbert | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.07 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Henderson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Bubba McHenry | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Corban Mora | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1 | -0.2 | -22.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.47 | 0 | 0 |
| Dylan Munroe | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -14 | -1.6 | -12.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG