Misericordia
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1080 (#130) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1085 (#174) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 996 (#485) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.3 (#168) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.8 (#477) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.524 (#450) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.343 (#431) | AdjNet -5.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.332 (#432) | AdjNet -6.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.405 (#430) | AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 75.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.476 (#465) | AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 70.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.396 (#492) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.412 (#483) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1020 (#337) | RD 98 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Marietta | L | 81 - 89 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Elmira | W | 81 - 70 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Haverford | W | 79 - 66 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | SUNY Delhi | W | 85 - 69 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Binghamton | L | 58 - 69 |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Penn St.-Abington | W | 95 - 67 |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | Cornell | L | 70 - 114 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Swarthmore | W | 70 - 64 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Mt. St. Mary (NY) | W | 80 - 45 |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Keystone | W | 88 - 62 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Randolph-Macon | L | 36 - 95 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Eastern | W | 60 - 52 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Hood | L | 55 - 86 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Stevens | W | 72 - 49 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Lebanon Valley | W | 70 - 61 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Arcadia | L | 69 - 82 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | FDU-Florham | W | 89 - 80 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | King's (PA) | W | 84 - 64 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | DeSales | L | 63 - 67 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Delaware Valley | W | 74 - 57 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Lebanon Valley | W | 78 - 63 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Arcadia | L | 60 - 74 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Stevens | L | 81 - 88 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Ovion Price | - | 1 | 30.2 | 34.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 16.0 | 2 | 0.2 | 3.9 | 57.1 | 42.9 | 87.5 | -0.11 | 69.3 | 64.3 |
| Jayden Thomas | - | 1 | 40.0 | 33.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 23.0 | 17.0 | 39 | 1.9 | 6.8 | 39.1 | 35.7 | 76.9 | 1.15 | 57.5 | 50.0 |
| Ryan Richardson | - | 1 | 40.0 | 21.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 53.8 | 58.3 | 0 | - | 80.8 | 80.8 |
| Olise Onyeka | - | 1 | 29.5 | 20.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 | -16 | -0.9 | -3.2 | 46.7 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 4.27 | 54.0 | 46.7 |
| Jake Singleton | - | 1 | 28.9 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | -57 | -3.0 | -15.2 | 54.5 | 28.6 | 100.0 | 0.48 | 70.5 | 63.6 |
| Trenton Collins | - | 1 | 30.5 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 5 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 47.1 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.49 | 48.7 | 47.1 |
| Demetrius Lilley | - | 1 | 35.8 | 16.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 54.6 | 50.0 |
| Matt Prociak | - | 19 | 29.6 | 15.3 | 7.3 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 12.4 | 11.3 | 28 | 1.3 | 7.0 | 41.7 | 30.9 | 79.3 | 2.52 | 53.5 | 47.9 |
| Bryson Wilson | - | 1 | 26.6 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 33.3 | 75.0 | - | 71.7 | 68.8 |
| Stephan Snagg | - | 1 | 26.6 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 33.3 | 75.0 | - | 71.7 | 68.8 |
| DaRon Sherman | - | 1 | 35.8 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 8.0 | -44 | -2.6 | -9.5 | 38.5 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.23 | 46.2 | 46.2 |
| Jack Gallagher | - | 19 | 25.8 | 11.6 | 7.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 8.3 | 12.2 | 5 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 48.4 | 16.1 | 69.2 | 1.98 | 55.8 | 50.0 |
| Zyier Beverly | - | 1 | 26.1 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 0.0 | 60.0 | - | 59.8 | 57.1 |
| Emanuel Domingo | - | 1 | 24.5 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 67 | 3.4 | 20.9 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.65 | 112.6 | 112.5 |
| Arvel Chandler | - | 19 | 26.3 | 8.8 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 7.7 | 7.5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38.1 | 30.4 | 66.7 | -0.73 | 50.8 | 47.6 |
| Eli Stoute | - | 19 | 21.4 | 8.1 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 5 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 46.1 | 37.7 | 62.8 | 0.52 | 57.1 | 54.8 |
| Mason Lewis | - | 1 | 26.8 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | -46 | -2.9 | -12.6 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 2.06 | 58.1 | 50.0 |
| Riley Buzby | - | 1 | 19.6 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 6 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -2.13 | 82.0 | 75.0 |
| Connor Fleet | - | 1 | 37.4 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | -2.0 | -55 | -3.2 | -11.7 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -0.93 | 39.4 | 31.2 |
| Luke Keppel | - | 1 | 38.2 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 65 | 3.2 | 12.8 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.99 | 30.7 | 12.5 |
| Logan Richards | - | 19 | 15.5 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 4.6 | 2.9 | - | - | - | 40.2 | 27.3 | 64.5 | - | 47.7 | 43.7 |
| Jackson Benigni | - | 1 | 40.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 33.6 | 28.6 |
| Will Meeker | - | 1 | 16.9 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.19 | 86.8 | 75.0 |
| Ethan Hann | - | 1 | 24.6 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | -14 | -1.2 | -188.8 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.48 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Darryl Wright | - | 19 | 23.2 | 4.8 | 2.9 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 4.4 | 7.9 | -61 | -3.0 | -16.1 | 37.3 | 33.3 | 51.5 | -0.67 | 47.2 | 45.2 |
| D.J. Orloff | - | 19 | 14.1 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3.6 | 4.7 | -43 | -2.3 | -23.5 | 58.0 | 25.0 | 56.2 | -0.67 | 59.2 | 58.7 |
| Alex Bobb | - | 1 | 10.7 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Luke Powell | - | 1 | 20.8 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | -76 | -4.0 | -33.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -3.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Will Anozie | - | 17 | 8.4 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 3.7 | 1.9 | -38 | -2.1 | -139.0 | 33.3 | 29.8 | 75.0 | -1.58 | 47.6 | 44.4 |
| Dejuan Taylor | - | 1 | 24.8 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | -71 | -4.2 | -15.7 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | -0.93 | 22.2 | 20.0 |
| Robbie Ruisch | - | 1 | 9.2 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -2.0 | 4 | 0.3 | 2.9 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.69 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Darius Carden | - | 1 | 15.4 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -55 | -3.1 | -37.1 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.76 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Josh Pelzer | - | 11 | 6.2 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 1.2 | -41 | -4.1 | -111.3 | 38.5 | 29.4 | 66.7 | -1.05 | 50.6 | 48.1 |
| Patrick Brown | - | 10 | 5.8 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1.2 | -36 | -3.3 | -60.5 | 30.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -2.42 | 39.6 | 37.0 |
| Timothy Avrine | - | 8 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 | - | - | - | 41.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 62.1 | 62.5 |
| Chris Edwards | - | 1 | 21.2 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 8 | 0.4 | 3.4 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.45 | 29.1 | 33.3 |
| Hayden Jarrett | - | 1 | 11.9 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -6 | -0.4 | -11.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.19 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Chris Chandler | - | 10 | 6.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 35.5 | 31.2 |
| Justin Ezeukwu | - | 1 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -35 | -2.3 | -19.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.17 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Anthony WIlliams | - | 1 | 15.5 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -52 | -1.6 | -29.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.54 | 12.9 | 0.0 |
| Ryan Nasuti | - | 2 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -29 | -1.7 | -34.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.49 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Josh Fadahunsi | - | 1 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -51 | -3.0 | -46.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.14 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Josh Harris | - | 1 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -14 | -0.9 | -9.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.08 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Nick Mate | - | 1 | 14.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -77 | -4.5 | -35.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.39 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Nevin Ibroci | - | 1 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Dylan Wagner | - | 1 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Theo Gladue | - | 1 | 17.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | 56 | 3.3 | 27.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.11 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ryan Glassmacher | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -2.0 | 5 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Sam Kahn | - | 1 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -36 | -2.1 | -78.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Chukwudi Mamah | - | 1 | 6.8 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.09 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG