Minot State
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2019 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 999 (#273) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 999 (#285) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 915 (#599) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +12.7 (#64) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.6 (#252) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.271 (#452) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.726 (#313) | AdjNet +8.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.743 (#309) | AdjNet +9.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.631 (#304) | AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 62.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.499 (#362) | AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 63.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.576 (#285) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.556 (#299) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 889 (#381) | RD 138 | GP 6 |
2019 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-11-11 | vs | Mont. St.-Northern | W | 55 - 45 |
| 2018-11-13 | vs | Yellowstone Chris. | W | 82 - 48 |
| 2018-11-14 | vs | Dickinson St. | W | 74 - 59 |
| 2018-11-21 | @ | Chaminade | L | 77 - 79 |
| 2018-11-22 | vs | Northwestern Okla. | W | 91 - 74 |
| 2018-11-27 | vs | Valley City St. | W | 66 - 59 |
| 2018-12-01 | @ | Mary | L | 58 - 64 |
| 2018-12-07 | vs | Minn. Duluth | L | 48 - 74 |
| 2018-12-08 | vs | St. Cloud St. | L | 60 - 61 |
| 2018-12-14 | @ | Northern St. | L | 54 - 57 |
| 2018-12-15 | @ | MSU Moorhead | L | 65 - 90 |
| 2018-12-30 | vs | Mary | L | 58 - 67 |
| 2019-01-04 | vs | Minnesota St. | W | 93 - 87 |
| 2019-01-05 | vs | Concordia-St. Paul | L | 46 - 58 |
| 2019-01-11 | @ | St. Cloud St. | L | 60 - 67 |
| 2019-01-12 | @ | Minn. Duluth | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-18 | @ | Southwest Minn. St. | W | 72 - 66 |
| 2019-01-19 | @ | Sioux Falls | L | 54 - 59 |
| 2019-01-25 | vs | Bemidji St. | W | 86 - 74 |
| 2019-01-26 | vs | Minn.-Crookston | W | 80 - 69 |
| 2019-02-01 | vs | Augustana (SD) | L | 58 - 61 |
| 2019-02-02 | vs | Wayne St. (NE) | W | 69 - 64 |
| 2019-02-08 | @ | Winona St. | L | 46 - 84 |
| 2019-02-09 | @ | Upper Iowa | W | 72 - 69 |
| 2019-02-15 | @ | Minn.-Crookston | W | 78 - 77 |
| 2019-02-16 | @ | Bemidji St. | W | 70 - 52 |
| 2019-02-22 | vs | MSU Moorhead | L | 61 - 78 |
| 2019-02-23 | vs | Northern St. | L | 68 - 73 |
| 2019-02-27 | @ | Winona St. | L | 57 - 63 |
2019 Roster
No roster data available for this season.