Minot State
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2016 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 999 (#273) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 999 (#285) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 915 (#599) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +12.7 (#64) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.6 (#252) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.271 (#452) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.726 (#313) | AdjNet +8.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.743 (#309) | AdjNet +9.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.631 (#304) | AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 62.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.499 (#362) | AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 63.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.576 (#285) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.556 (#299) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 889 (#381) | RD 138 | GP 6 |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-13 | vs | Pittsburg St. | L | 60 - 78 |
| 2015-11-14 | vs | Washburn | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-17 | vs | Presentation | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-18 | vs | Dickinson St. | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-21 | @ | Lake Superior St. | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-22 | @ | Northern Mich. | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-04 | vs | MSU Moorhead | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-06 | vs | Northern St. | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-11 | @ | Sioux Falls | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-12 | @ | Southwest Minn. St. | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-16 | vs | Mary | W | 80 - 73 |
| 2015-12-18 | @ | Mary | W | 75 - 67 |
| 2016-01-02 | vs | Bemidji St. | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-03 | vs | Minn.-Crookston | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-08 | @ | Northern St. | L | 37 - 61 |
| 2016-01-09 | @ | MSU Moorhead | L | 55 - 73 |
| 2016-01-15 | vs | Upper Iowa | W | 71 - 69 |
| 2016-01-16 | vs | Winona St. | L | 57 - 98 |
| 2016-01-22 | @ | Minn. Duluth | L | 55 - 71 |
| 2016-01-23 | @ | St. Cloud St. | L | 51 - 58 |
| 2016-01-30 | @ | Wayne St. (NE) | L | 60 - 80 |
| 2016-01-31 | @ | Augustana (SD) | L | 70 - 87 |
| 2016-02-05 | vs | Concordia-St. Paul | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-06 | vs | Minnesota St. | L | 60 - 61 |
| 2016-02-12 | @ | Minn.-Crookston | L | 62 - 78 |
| 2016-02-13 | @ | Bemidji St. | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-19 | vs | St. Cloud St. | W | 73 - 63 |
| 2016-02-20 | vs | Minn. Duluth | L | 53 - 67 |
| 2016-02-24 | @ | Augustana (SD) | L | 75 - 96 |
2016 Roster
No roster data available for this season.