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Minot St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Minot St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 863 (#240) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 937 (#210) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 941 (#494) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +5.5 (#157) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +7.7 (#195) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.694 (#75) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +37.1 More → 0.980 (#114) NetEff +37.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +19.6 More → 0.905 (#28) AdjNet +19.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.8 More → 0.909 (#28) AdjNet +19.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.7 | AdjD 68.6 More → 0.797 (#29) AdjO 83.7 | AdjD 68.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 73.3 More → 0.562 (#190) AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 73.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.565 (#270) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.555 (#272) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 94 | GP 24 More → 902 (#361) RD 94 | GP 24

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Southeastern Okla. W 78 - 76
2025-11-15 vs East Central L 67 - 78
2025-11-19 vs Bismarck St. W 105 - 72
2025-11-21 vs Mont. St. Billings W 95 - 90
2025-11-25 @ Mary L 73 - 78
2025-11-28 vs Black Hills St. L 65 - 72
2025-11-29 vs South Dakota Mines L 79 - 84
2025-12-04 vs Jamestown W 85 - 78
2025-12-06 @ Northern St. W 91 - 79
2025-12-11 vs MSU Moorhead L 79 - 90
2025-12-13 vs Minn.-Crookston W 69 - 61
2025-12-18 @ Minn. Duluth L 58 - 67
2025-12-20 @ Bemidji St. W 89 - 83
2026-01-03 vs Mary W 86 - 83
2026-01-09 vs St. Cloud St. L 57 - 71
2026-01-10 vs Minnesota St. L 67 - 72
2026-01-16 @ Southwest Minn. St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ Sioux Falls L 73 - 95
2026-01-23 vs Augustana (SD) L 75 - 82
2026-01-24 vs Wayne St. (NE) - Incomplete score
2026-01-30 @ Concordia-St. Paul - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Winona St. L 62 - 67
2026-02-05 vs Bemidji St. W 72 - 65
2026-02-07 vs Minn. Duluth W 85 - 83
2026-02-12 @ Minn.-Crookston L 69 - 72
2026-02-14 @ MSU Moorhead W 74 - 67
2026-02-19 @ Jamestown W 85 - 84
2026-02-21 vs Northern St. L 62 - 76
2026-02-25 @ Minn. Duluth L 68 - 74

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Deuce Benjamin - 28 31.5 18.4 3.1 2.0 1.5 0.2 2.1 14.6 8.4 - - - - 40.5 31.4 80.3 - 53.9 47.6
Darik Dissette - 28 34.3 14.4 5.4 1.6 1.4 0.2 1.9 11.2 9.9 - - - - 50.3 15.8 69.4 - 54.9 50.8
Sean de kovachich - 6 21.9 12.7 4.3 0.7 1.0 0.0 1.7 9.2 7.8 - - - - 50.9 36.4 75.0 - 61.3 58.2
Isaiah Alexander - 27 30.5 11.9 5.7 2.0 0.8 0.1 1.9 8.4 10.3 - - - - 43.4 24.0 77.6 - 54.6 44.7
Carson Yale - 28 23.1 8.8 5.3 0.9 0.4 0.6 1.1 6.3 8.7 - - - - 55.1 25.0 67.6 - 59.5 56.5
Kiku Parker Jr. - 4 26.0 7.0 2.5 2.2 1.0 0.0 1.8 6.0 5.0 - - - - 54.2 33.3 33.3 - 55.3 56.2
Trey Brandt - 28 22.6 6.5 2.4 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.6 6.1 3.7 - - - - 41.2 33.0 92.3 - 51.8 50.0
Kiku Parker Jr - 24 26.6 5.8 2.8 2.4 1.2 0.0 1.2 5.1 5.9 - - - - 43.1 29.2 67.6 - 49.5 45.9
Lovasoa Andriatsarafara - 28 15.3 4.5 4.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.6 3.4 5.6 - - - - 54.7 0.0 61.1 - 56.8 54.7
Parker Falcon - 9 12.9 4.3 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 3.6 1.6 - - - - 43.8 37.9 0 - 60.9 60.9
Grayson Schaeffer - 6 3.4 1.2 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.0 - - - - 60.0 33.3 0 - 70.0 70.0
Ramsey Walz - 2 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Braelyn Dale - 9 4.5 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.4 - - - - 37.5 0.0 100.0 - 45.0 37.5
Dylan Gichaba - 22 8.4 0.7 1.9 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.7 2.3 - - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Jayse Boatwright - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Drew Kempel - 3 2.1 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG