Minnesota
2012 Team Stats (9 games)
58.8
PPG
69.8
Opp
-11.0
Margin
35.7%
FG%
36.4%
3P%
75.0%
FT%
36.6
RPG
9.7
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.4
Adj PPG
56.3
Adj Opp PPG
#62
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2011-2012
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1079 (#126) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1079 (#115) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 999 (#163) | HCA +78 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +12.6 (#58) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +10.7 (#66) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.617 (#130) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.908 (#59) | AdjNet +19.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.915 (#59) | AdjNet +20.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.733 (#62) | AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 56.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.611 (#83) | AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 58.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.740 (#73) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.718 (#74) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1094 (#105) | RD 126 | GP 26 |
2012 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011-11-20 | vs | North Dakota State Bison | W | 80 - 41 |
| 2011-12-01 | @ | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | L | 65 - 82 |
| 2011-12-04 | vs | Baylor Bears | L | 60 - 89 |
| 2011-12-07 | vs | Air Force Falcons | W | 81 - 46 |
| 2011-12-10 | vs | Harvard Crimson | W | 79 - 53 |
| 2011-12-14 | @ | Denver Pioneers | L | 63 - 72 |
| 2011-12-23 | vs | NJIT Highlanders | W | 71 - 47 |
| 2011-12-30 | @ | Purdue Boilermakers | L | 53 - 57 |
| 2012-01-02 | vs | Indiana Hoosiers | W | 84 - 43 |
| 2012-01-05 | @ | Northwestern Wildcats | W | 68 - 60 |
| 2012-01-12 | vs | Purdue Boilermakers | L | 55 - 72 |
| 2012-01-15 | @ | Michigan Wolverines | L | 57 - 61 |
| 2012-01-19 | vs | Michigan State Spartans | W | 71 - 65 |
| 2012-01-22 | @ | Nebraska Cornhuskers | L | 49 - 64 |
| 2012-01-26 | vs | Wisconsin Badgers | L | 72 - 78 |
| 2012-01-29 | vs | Ohio State Buckeyes | W | 76 - 65 |
| 2012-02-02 | @ | Illinois Fighting Illini | L | 67 - 72 |
| 2012-02-05 | vs | Penn State Lady Lions | L | 65 - 68 |
| 2012-02-09 | @ | Iowa Hawkeyes | L | 58 - 75 |
| 2012-02-13 | vs | Nebraska Cornhuskers | W | 64 - 58 |
| 2012-02-16 | vs | Illinois Fighting Illini | W | 60 - 53 |
| 2012-02-23 | @ | Ohio State Buckeyes | L | 56 - 81 |
| 2012-02-26 | @ | Penn State Lady Lions | L | 51 - 74 |
| 2012-03-01 | vs | Wisconsin Badgers | W | 81 - 49 |
| 2012-03-02 | @ | Penn State Lady Lions | L | 74 - 78 |
| 2012-03-23 | vs | Manhattan Jaspers | W | 67 - 54 |
2012 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
R. Banham
|
G | 9 | 0.0 | 15.7 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 3.9 | 13.7 | 6.1 | 107 | 31 | 3.5 | 4.4 | 43.1 | 39.3 | 80.0 | 3.53 | 51.8 | 47.6 |
K. Buford
|
NA | 9 | 0.0 | 10.9 | 3.9 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 4.2 | 12.2 | 4.3 | 54 | 31 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 34.5 | 46.2 | 72.7 | -0.4 | 40.9 | 37.3 |
M. Riche
|
F | 1 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 61 | 28 | 2.2 | 5.6 | 36.4 | 0 | 100.0 | 3.51 | 42.1 | 36.4 |
K. Kellogg
|
NA | 5 | 0.0 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 6.6 | 8.2 | -25 | 29 | -0.9 | -1.6 | 42.4 | 100.0 | 77.8 | -1.98 | 50.1 | 45.5 |
K. Loberg
|
NA | 8 | 0.0 | 7.2 | 5.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 8.9 | 3.6 | 89 | 30 | 3.0 | 5.7 | 32.4 | 0 | 75.0 | 3.64 | 37.2 | 32.4 |
B. Mastey
|
NA | 3 | 0.0 | 6.3 | 8.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 5.0 | 9.7 | 78 | 31 | 2.5 | 5.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 2.32 | 46.8 | 33.3 |
L. Cotton
|
- | 5 | 0.0 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 5.2 | 3.2 | -15 | 31 | -0.5 | -1.1 | 19.2 | 33.3 | 70.6 | -1.69 | 34.3 | 21.2 |
J. Voigt
|
NA | 4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 107 | 25 | 4.3 | 9.0 | 22.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.77 | 22.2 | 22.2 |
S. Noga
|
G | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -3.0 | 67 | 26 | 2.6 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.54 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG