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Minnesota St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2013
Also known as: Minnesota St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1020 (#306) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1057 (#236) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1010 (#366) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +11.5 (#213) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.990 (#174) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +25.1 More → 0.948 (#138) AdjNet +25.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +24.5 More → 0.948 (#142) AdjNet +24.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 94.3 | AdjD 71.6 More → 0.887 (#113) AdjO 94.3 | AdjD 71.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 80.6 | AdjD 75.7 More → 0.610 (#199) AdjO 80.6 | AdjD 75.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.685 (#222) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.664 (#243) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1087 (#225) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-18 vs Crown (MN) W 106 - 74

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Traijan Sain - 1 12.5 17.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 17.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 100.0 - 116.1 116.7
Malcolm Jones - 1 13.1 16.0 5.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 15.0 13 0.9 27.3 77.8 100.0 50.0 0.72 81.0 83.3
Caden Kirkman - 1 16.9 12.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 12.0 - - - 71.4 0.0 50.0 - 68.5 71.4
Colton Benson - 1 12.0 11.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 9.0 - - - 80.0 66.7 100.0 - 101.1 100.0
Joe Buchanan - 1 13.9 10.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 7.0 - - - 80.0 66.7 0 - 100.0 100.0
Puolrah Gong - 1 10.1 10.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 - - - 100.0 0 66.7 - 88.7 100.0
Chase Bartlett - 1 13.4 8.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 - - - 75.0 66.7 0 - 100.0 100.0
Phoenix Childs - 1 14.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 1.0 - - - 28.6 25.0 100.0 - 40.3 35.7
AJ Bender - 1 14.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Will Opsahl - 1 12.6 4.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 - - - 25.0 50.0 50.0 - 41.0 37.5
Keegan Harney - 1 12.2 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 - - - 25.0 33.3 0 - 37.5 37.5
Carson Schweim - 1 14.9 3.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 4.0 - - - 16.7 25.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
David Harmon - 1 17.3 2.0 1.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Ganden Gosch - 1 10.5 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Arhman Lewis - 1 12.6 0.0 0.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 15 0.7 3.9 0.0 0.0 0 0.23 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG