Minnesota St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1020 (#306) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1057 (#236) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1010 (#366) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +11.5 (#213) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.990 (#174) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.948 (#138) | AdjNet +25.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.948 (#142) | AdjNet +24.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.887 (#113) | AdjO 94.3 | AdjD 71.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.610 (#199) | AdjO 80.6 | AdjD 75.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.685 (#222) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.664 (#243) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1087 (#222) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-25 | vs | Bethany Lutheran | W | 97 - 63 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Willingham | - | 1 | 27.0 | 22.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 16.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 56.2 | 80.0 | 0 | - | 68.8 | 68.8 |
| Dylan Peeters | - | 1 | 21.0 | 17.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 66.0 | 66.7 |
| Kyreese Willingham | - | 1 | 27.0 | 13.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 40.9 | 40.0 |
| Harrison Braudis | - | 1 | 18.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 55.7 | 50.0 |
| Malcolm Jones | - | 1 | 15.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 33 | 16.5 | 44.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.3 | 57.9 | 50.0 |
| Brady Williams | - | 1 | 22.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 30 | 1.8 | 13.8 | 44.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.92 | 55.6 | 55.6 |
| Elijah Hazekamp | - | 1 | 22.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 25.0 | 100.0 | - | 44.4 | 35.7 |
| Mason Muller | - | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 79.8 | 100.0 |
| Sam Nissen | - | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Will Opsahl | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 113.6 | 0 |
| Chase Bartlett | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Hamahrie Bowers | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Justin Eagins | - | 1 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Dawson Rudolph | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Tyrell Stuttley | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG