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Minnesota St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Minnesota St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1143 (#77) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1114 (#94) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1167 (#27) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +12.2 (#70) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +16.7 (#84) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.739 (#45) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +46.7 More → 0.991 (#81) NetEff +46.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +23.0 More → 0.934 (#16) AdjNet +23.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +23.2 More → 0.937 (#13) AdjNet +23.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 86.1 | AdjD 68.4 More → 0.833 (#14) AdjO 86.1 | AdjD 68.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 81.3 | AdjD 69.5 More → 0.744 (#44) AdjO 81.3 | AdjD 69.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.809 (#61) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.808 (#54) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 93 | GP 26 More → 1161 (#70) RD 93 | GP 26

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-02 vs Pittsburg St. L 53 - 75
2025-11-14 vs Central Mo. W 81 - 63
2025-11-15 vs Henderson St. W 93 - 84
2025-11-18 vs Crown (MN) W 106 - 74
2025-11-21 vs Grand Valley St. L 55 - 76
2025-11-22 @ Chadron St. W 81 - 52
2025-11-25 vs St. Cloud St. L 53 - 73
2025-11-29 vs Waldorf W 119 - 80
2025-12-04 @ Winona St. L 75 - 83
2025-12-06 vs Concordia-St. Paul L 77 - 89
2025-12-11 vs Wayne St. (NE) W 71 - 60
2025-12-13 vs Augustana (SD) L 68 - 76
2025-12-18 @ Southwest Minn. St. L 66 - 78
2025-12-20 @ Sioux Falls L 90 - 98
2026-01-03 @ St. Cloud St. L 67 - 75
2026-01-09 @ Mary W 68 - 65
2026-01-10 @ Minot St. W 72 - 67
2026-01-16 vs Minn. Duluth - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Bemidji St. W 98 - 83
2026-01-23 vs Northern St. W 78 - 67
2026-01-24 vs Jamestown - Incomplete score
2026-01-30 @ Minn.-Crookston - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ MSU Moorhead W 82 - 66
2026-02-05 vs Sioux Falls W 98 - 95
2026-02-07 vs Southwest Minn. St. W 74 - 71
2026-02-12 @ Augustana (SD) L 83 - 95
2026-02-14 @ Wayne St. (NE) W 81 - 69
2026-02-19 vs Winona St. W 77 - 66
2026-02-21 @ Concordia-St. Paul L 69 - 87
2026-02-25 vs Winona St. W 74 - 62
2026-03-01 @ Southwest Minn. St. W 79 - 72
2026-03-02 @ St. Cloud St. L 82 - 87

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Traijan Sain - 31 27.6 13.0 3.6 1.9 1.2 0.5 1.7 10.7 7.8 - - - - 42.6 33.3 84.6 - 53.6 47.7
Malcolm Jones - 32 23.4 12.6 7.7 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.0 8.5 13.4 - - - - 58.6 28.6 65.1 - 61.5 59.0
Arhman Lewis - 31 31.1 12.4 2.8 5.9 0.9 0.1 1.9 10.0 10.2 - - - - 43.9 38.2 72.4 - 54.5 50.6
Caden Kirkman - 32 24.9 11.3 6.2 1.0 0.7 0.8 1.5 7.9 10.6 - - - - 57.1 42.5 67.5 - 62.5 60.4
Colton Benson - 31 25.9 9.7 3.5 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.5 6.6 7.0 - - - - 42.7 39.3 86.1 - 62.5 56.6
Will Opsahl - 30 23.2 8.1 2.9 1.1 0.5 0.0 0.6 6.5 5.5 - - - - 40.0 34.2 84.5 - 55.1 49.7
Phoenix Childs - 20 17.8 5.8 2.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.0 6.1 2.0 - - - - 32.0 29.5 75.0 - 44.3 41.4
Joe Buchanan - 11 12.5 5.2 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.4 5.3 1.2 - - - - 34.5 34.7 0 - 49.1 49.1
Carson Schweim - 27 14.6 4.0 2.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 4.1 3.5 - - - - 33.0 29.3 45.8 - 44.5 43.8
David Harmon - 19 9.4 2.3 1.4 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.8 2.2 2.2 - - - - 39.0 30.0 75.0 - 49.4 46.3
Chase Bartlett - 24 9.6 2.0 1.5 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.6 2.2 1.4 - - - - 25.9 20.0 100.0 - 40.2 34.3
AJ Bender - 9 11.4 1.6 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 2.0 0.6 - - - - 38.9 0.0 0.0 - 38.0 38.9
Puolrah Gong - 21 4.8 1.2 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 - - - - 69.2 0 50.0 - 65.2 69.2
Keegan Harney - 4 3.0 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.2 - - - - 25.0 33.3 0 - 37.5 37.5
Ganden Gosch - 3 3.5 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG