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Minn.-Crookston

Also known as: Minn.-Crookston
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 874 (#392) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 786 (#525) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 855 (#567) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -2.1 (#244) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +3.8 (#263) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.190 (#493) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -10.2 More → 0.253 (#268) NetEff -10.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.9 More → 0.555 (#391) AdjNet +1.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.2 More → 0.562 (#388) AdjNet +2.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 72.4 More → 0.541 (#387) AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 72.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.6 | AdjD 75.0 More → 0.492 (#316) AdjO 74.6 | AdjD 75.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.416 (#387) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.415 (#390) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 105 | GP 26 More → 762 (#484) RD 105 | GP 26

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Wayne St. (MI) L 66 - 101
2025-11-14 @ Central Okla. L 47 - 62
2025-11-15 @ Northeastern St. L 73 - 80
2025-11-19 vs Oak Hills Christian W 115 - 53
2025-11-25 @ MSU Moorhead L 69 - 95
2025-11-28 @ Upper Iowa L 81 - 96
2025-11-29 @ Ferris St. L 0 - 0
2025-11-29 @ St. Cloud St. L 68 - 83
2025-12-03 @ Minn. Duluth L 86 - 99
2025-12-06 vs Bemidji St. L 77 - 87
2025-12-11 @ Mary L 54 - 79
2025-12-13 @ Minot St. L 61 - 69
2025-12-15 @ North Dakota St. L 67 - 101
2025-12-17 vs Jamestown L 71 - 78
2025-12-20 vs Northern St. L 67 - 86
2026-01-03 vs MSU Moorhead L 81 - 92
2026-01-05 vs Minn.-Morris W 81 - 61
2026-01-09 @ Winona St. W 67 - 62
2026-01-10 @ Concordia-St. Paul L 78 - 89
2026-01-17 vs Augustana (SD) L 77 - 85
2026-01-21 @ Wayne St. (NE) L 62 - 79
2026-01-23 @ Sioux Falls W 85 - 78
2026-01-24 @ Southwest Minn. St. L 46 - 90
2026-01-30 vs Minnesota St. L 62 - 85
2026-01-31 vs St. Cloud St. L 78 - 80
2026-02-05 @ Northern St. L 71 - 78
2026-02-07 @ Jamestown L 77 - 84

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Donez Lindsey - 25 29.8 14.9 3.3 3.1 1.3 0.1 2.6 12.8 7.4 -100 -4.5 -23.0 40.9 37.6 76.4 0.42 53.0 49.7
Thomas Dillard IV - 1 25.1 14.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 7.0 - - - 58.3 0 0.0 - 54.3 58.3
Spencer Swenson - 24 25.5 13.1 6.3 1.3 0.8 1.5 1.7 9.8 11.6 -60 -2.9 -18.0 47.9 32.8 73.5 -0.78 56.8 51.9
Alijah Washington - 24 25.5 11.5 4.0 0.8 1.3 0.3 0.9 10.8 6.2 90 3.9 22.4 39.1 30.5 68.3 -1.6 48.5 45.3
Kazadi Mukoma Jr - 25 25.1 11.2 4.4 0.7 0.5 0.6 1.3 10.0 6.2 - - - 37.2 34.8 75.0 - 49.7 45.2
Devin McMorris - 1 26.6 11.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 7.0 - - - 36.4 40.0 33.3 - 44.6 45.5
Collin Miller - 1 26.7 9.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 4.0 -16 -0.7 -4.4 50.0 66.7 50.0 0.87 65.4 66.7
Chandler Meeks - 3 15.2 6.0 1.7 0.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.3 3.0 - - - 31.6 0.0 85.7 - 40.8 31.6
Joel Laird - 1 9.4 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 - - - 50.0 33.3 50.0 - 61.5 62.5
Brady Westphal - 14 9.7 5.0 1.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.6 4.3 1.6 - - - 40.0 37.0 100.0 - 57.5 56.7
Ali Hassan - 1 18.8 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 3.0 - - - 40.0 33.3 0 - 50.0 50.0
Hunter Lorenson - 15 18.5 4.6 2.4 1.9 0.7 0.1 1.6 3.7 4.3 -106 -8.2 -152.1 41.8 46.2 54.8 -0.57 50.3 47.3
Quincy Everson - 12 16.2 4.2 2.0 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.8 4.0 2.8 25 2.5 52.3 39.6 13.6 90.0 1.22 47.7 42.7
J.D. Roberts - 25 21.4 4.2 3.9 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.8 4.6 4.9 -30 -5.0 -10.3 36.2 20.8 68.8 -1.12 43.1 40.9
Brayden Carlson - 25 17.1 4.0 3.0 0.9 0.0 0.3 0.4 3.4 4.4 -37 -1.7 -15.1 51.2 25.0 41.7 0.0 51.3 51.7
Landon Dimler - 11 16.7 4.0 4.9 0.9 0.4 0.3 1.0 4.5 4.9 -27 -3.0 -45.9 32.0 20.0 87.5 -0.35 41.1 37.0
Jackson Reynolds - 1 28.7 4.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 12.0 3.0 - - - 16.7 0.0 0 - 16.7 16.7
Abdulrahman Helwa - 1 11.1 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 - - - 20.0 20.0 0 - 30.0 30.0
Owen Chervestad - 13 10.2 2.0 1.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.8 1.3 3.0 - - - 70.6 50.0 33.3 - 71.0 73.5
Caiden Swenby - 24 8.5 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.2 1.8 1.4 -29 -1.4 -24.4 33.3 36.4 100.0 -0.62 44.3 42.9
GD Deng - 22 11.0 1.2 1.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.7 2.6 -21 -1.1 -13.1 53.3 66.7 58.3 -1.39 66.6 66.7
Cuinn Berger - 10 2.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.3 -20 -2.2 -108.4 50.0 33.3 0 0.67 56.2 56.2
Zachary Cody - 1 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Alex Gillum - 1 3.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Lozell Kearney - 1 5.4 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG