🐻⬇️🏀

Minn. Duluth

Season: 2026 2014 2013
Also known as: Minn. Duluth
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1128 (#105) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1016 (#323) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +27.6 (#81) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.999 (#128) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +45.5 More → 0.999 (#71) NetEff +45.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +53.3 More → 0.998 (#67) AdjNet +53.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +52.9 More → 0.998 (#69) AdjNet +52.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 44.9 More → 0.945 (#90) AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 44.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 57.4 More → 0.681 (#143) AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 57.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.918 (#57) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.891 (#65) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 2 More → 1065 (#236) RD 350 | GP 2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Wis.-Superior W 87 - 36
2025-11-08 vs Bethel (MN) W 61 - 48

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lexi Karge - 2 16.7 14.5 7.0 1.5 0.5 1.0 1.0 7.0 16.5 - - - 71.4 50.0 61.5 - 73.5 75.0
Lilly Radcliffe - 1 8.3 13.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 9.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 130.0 130.0
Lexi Karlen - 2 16.3 10.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.5 1.0 6.5 8.0 - - - 61.5 0.0 100.0 - 67.8 61.5
Grace Counts - 2 15.5 8.5 1.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 5.0 6.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 90.0 - 59.0 40.0
Myra Moorjani - 2 24.7 6.5 4.0 1.0 1.5 1.0 1.0 9.5 3.5 - - - 21.1 22.2 75.0 - 31.3 26.3
Ashley Fritz - 2 15.5 6.5 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 - - - 50.0 20.0 0.0 - 50.5 54.2
Maria Counts - 2 19.8 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.0 1.5 3.0 3.5 8.5 - - - 42.9 75.0 0 - 64.3 64.3
Drew Johnston - 2 8.9 4.0 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 - - - 75.0 66.7 0 - 100.0 100.0
Karly Jusczak - 2 11.3 3.5 4.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 2.5 5.5 - - - 60.0 100.0 0 - 70.0 70.0
Claire Bjorge - 2 19.9 3.5 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.5 3.0 6.0 -2.0 - - - 25.0 25.0 0 - 29.2 29.2
Vanessa Bickford - 2 26.2 3.0 2.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 6.0 1.0 - - - 16.7 33.3 0 - 25.0 25.0
Gabrielle Kirchner - 1 8.5 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 -2.0 - - - 50.0 0 50.0 - 52.1 50.0
Torie Neubauer - 2 8.7 1.5 1.5 0.5 1.5 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 - - - 25.0 33.3 0 - 37.5 37.5
Keagan McVicker - 1 7.2 0.0 2.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Elayna Boe - 1 8.6 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG