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Minn. Duluth

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Minn. Duluth
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1026 (#274) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1053 (#245) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 987 (#538) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -9.6 (#524) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.993 (#160) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +21.6 More → 0.923 (#165) AdjNet +21.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +21.1 More → 0.923 (#164) AdjNet +21.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.6 | AdjD 65.2 More → 0.802 (#175) AdjO 80.6 | AdjD 65.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 80.1 More → 0.422 (#552) AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 80.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.363 (#529) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.375 (#524) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 23 More → 985 (#383) RD 104 | GP 23

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2023-11-08 @ Concordia-M'head L 53 - 80
2023-11-10 @ Trinity Bible (ND) W 86 - 68
2023-11-14 vs Augsburg W 86 - 64
2023-11-17 @ Cornell College L 56 - 71
2023-11-18 @ Wartburg W 90 - 63
2023-11-21 @ Mayville St. L 57 - 82
2023-11-28 vs Mayville St. L 73 - 80
2023-11-30 vs Oak Hills Christian W 95 - 69
2023-12-08 @ Northland W 96 - 88
2023-12-09 @ Wis.-Superior W 65 - 63
2023-12-11 vs Waldorf W 70 - 67
2024-01-02 @ St. Cloud St. L 52 - 99
2024-01-03 vs Valley City St. L 61 - 93
2024-01-06 @ Crown (MN) L 56 - 64
2024-01-12 vs Bethany Lutheran L 71 - 76
2024-01-13 vs Martin Luther W 104 - 59
2024-01-19 vs North Central (MN) L 71 - 79
2024-01-20 vs Northwestern-St. Paul L 70 - 81
2024-01-23 vs Trinity Bible (ND) W 87 - 64
2024-01-27 vs Crown (MN) W 61 - 58
2024-02-02 @ Martin Luther W 70 - 67
2024-02-03 @ Bethany Lutheran L 79 - 86
2024-02-09 vs Wis.-Superior L 59 - 70
2024-02-10 vs Northland W 82 - 56
2024-02-16 @ Northwestern-St. Paul L 68 - 78
2024-02-17 @ North Central (MN) L 64 - 79

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Xavier Patterson - 2 33.5 23.0 5.0 3.5 4.0 0.0 3.5 14.5 17.5 -56 -14.0 -27.2 51.7 33.3 77.8 -0.36 62.3 55.2
Josef Fahrenholtz - 2 26.0 20.0 10.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 5.0 14.5 12.5 8 4.0 5.9 55.2 0.0 100.0 0.63 61.5 55.2
Caleb Hoilien - 2 31.0 19.0 3.0 2.5 1.0 0.5 1.5 11.0 13.5 - - - 54.5 75.0 78.6 - 67.5 61.4
Ja'Shon Simpson - 2 29.0 17.5 9.0 3.5 2.0 1.0 3.5 9.0 20.5 19 2.7 22.3 66.7 60.0 83.3 0.28 84.8 83.3
Tanner Holtman - 2 32.0 16.5 9.5 2.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 13.0 16.5 9 1.0 9.6 46.2 36.8 100.0 0.3 61.4 59.6
Drew Sagedahl - 2 24.0 16.0 5.5 0.0 1.5 0.0 1.5 12.5 9.0 -7 -1.8 -3.6 40.0 25.0 90.9 1.24 53.6 44.0
Anish Ramlall - 1 20.0 14.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 9.0 8.0 - - - 55.6 57.1 0 - 77.8 77.8
Japheth Nyamari - 2 23.5 13.5 4.0 1.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 10.0 10.5 -73 -6.1 -99.9 45.0 38.5 100.0 0.14 62.0 57.5
Jamiir Allen - 1 17.0 13.0 2.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 14.0 - - - 66.7 50.0 0.0 - 68.9 72.2
Jax Madson - 2 32.0 13.0 3.5 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 10.5 8.0 -28 -7.0 -11.0 42.9 33.3 50.0 0.68 53.0 52.4
Reid Johnson - 2 23.5 12.5 4.5 1.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 9.5 8.5 -14 -4.7 -13.8 47.4 36.4 75.0 -0.04 60.2 57.9
Craig Steele - 1 15.0 12.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 8.0 - - - 57.1 66.7 0 - 85.7 85.7
Jeremiah Lavelle - 2 21.5 12.0 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 9.0 6.0 - - - 44.4 57.1 66.7 - 58.1 55.6
Kelton Vincent - 2 25.0 12.0 6.0 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 5.5 17.5 7 2.3 31.1 54.5 50.0 100.0 -0.46 82.6 72.7
Vance Peiffer - 1 20.0 11.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 8.0 8.0 - - - 62.5 0.0 100.0 - 65.2 62.5
Henry Fahnbulleh - 2 23.5 10.5 7.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 2.0 5.5 12.0 - - - 72.7 0 71.4 - 74.6 72.7
Wyatt Hawks - 1 19.0 10.0 10.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 6.0 18.0 - - - 83.3 0 0 - 83.3 83.3
Carrington McNeal - 2 19.5 9.5 6.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 3.0 6.0 10.0 28 1.6 35.5 66.7 50.0 100.0 0.3 73.8 70.8
J'Vaun Walker - 2 30.0 9.0 4.0 3.5 1.5 0.0 1.0 10.5 6.5 13 4.3 7.7 33.3 0.0 66.7 0.3 38.1 33.3
Hunter Nielsen - 2 26.5 8.5 10.5 0.5 1.5 3.0 0.5 8.0 15.5 -2 -0.5 -0.9 50.0 0.0 100.0 1.45 51.7 50.0
Nik Feller - 2 28.0 8.5 4.5 2.5 1.5 0.5 1.0 10.5 6.0 -34 -3.8 -39.7 28.6 30.8 50.0 0.27 38.8 38.1
Dom Aguilar - 1 10.0 8.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 3.0 - - - 50.0 40.0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Matt Willert - 1 11.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 2.0 - - - 42.9 50.0 0 - 57.1 57.1
Joey Barker - 2 23.0 8.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 7.5 6.5 -2 -0.7 -1.3 40.0 0.0 40.0 0.29 41.2 40.0
Mason Ackley - 2 28.5 8.0 8.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 11.0 -31 -7.8 -14.3 35.7 0.0 75.0 0.35 45.7 35.7
Dominik Bangu - 2 25.0 7.5 4.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 3.0 6.5 4.0 -26 -6.5 -14.7 38.5 50.0 66.7 0.42 52.4 50.0
Jack Courneya - 2 15.5 7.5 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.5 3.0 3 0.4 14.5 40.0 30.0 0.0 -0.48 48.6 50.0
Nate Dahl - 1 18.0 7.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 75.0 - 51.8 40.0
T.J. Moberg - 2 23.0 5.5 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.0 5.0 -16 -8.0 -18.8 50.0 50.0 100.0 0.06 82.8 62.5
Tyler VanEtten - 2 8.5 5.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 4.5 1.0 -7 -1.0 -95.5 44.4 20.0 100.0 -1.03 55.7 50.0
Joe Mutimer - 1 12.0 5.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 7.0 - - - 66.7 50.0 0 - 83.3 83.3
Max Briggs - 2 23.0 5.0 2.0 0.5 2.5 0.0 1.5 3.5 5.0 29 2.4 21.6 42.9 40.0 100.0 0.39 63.5 57.1
Remy Wedgeworth-Brown - 2 24.5 5.0 3.5 2.5 1.5 0.0 3.0 6.0 3.5 23 1.4 41.5 25.0 66.7 66.7 0.0 37.5 33.3
Carmello McNeal - 2 15.0 4.5 3.0 1.5 1.5 0.5 4.5 4.0 2.5 23 1.3 44.0 37.5 50.0 50.0 -0.03 46.1 43.8
Andrew Koehler - 2 16.5 4.5 6.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 3.5 7.0 - - - 28.6 0.0 62.5 - 42.8 28.6
Ty Melchert - 2 15.0 3.5 2.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 3.5 3.0 -7 -3.5 -24.2 42.9 25.0 0 -0.34 50.0 50.0
Jayden Livingston - 2 14.5 3.5 3.5 1.5 1.5 0.0 2.0 2.0 6.0 60 4.6 289.2 50.0 66.7 50.0 -0.45 71.7 75.0
Micah Pocernich - 2 28.0 3.5 1.0 3.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 7.5 -1.0 - - - 13.3 12.5 100.0 - 22.0 16.7
Tony Dahl - 1 17.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Lucas Morgan - 1 17.0 3.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 5.0 - - - 14.3 25.0 0 - 21.4 21.4
Luke Taylor - 1 13.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 9.0 - - - 100.0 0 50.0 - 79.8 100.0
Justin Schrupp - 2 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 -0.5 -5 -1.7 -70.6 28.6 28.6 0 -1.0 42.9 42.9
Parker Behne - 1 12.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 100.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Andre Renta - 1 10.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 34.7 0.0
Andrew Kunelius - 2 25.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 1.5 0.5 2.0 3.0 3.0 -8 -2.7 -4.9 33.3 0.0 0 0.23 33.3 33.3
Teon Thomas - 2 12.5 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -33 -8.2 -65.6 50.0 0.0 0 -0.16 50.0 50.0
Elijah Burns - 2 8.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 -0.5 -13 -4.3 -70.3 33.3 0.0 50.0 -0.59 38.7 33.3
Ryan Schneider - 2 14.0 1.5 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.5 - - - 25.0 33.3 0 - 37.5 37.5
Kyle Bilodeau - 2 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Jace Hernandez - 2 3.0 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 1.5 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Nathan Bunkosky - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Isaac Neal - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jackson Allfrey - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Andrew Beers - 2 5.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 -30 -3.8 -233.8 0 0 0 -0.73 0 0
Evan Bennett - 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Luke Fehrenbacher - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -3 -1.5 -83.7 0 0 0 -1.37 0 0
Eddie Mittermeyer - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -32 -5.3 -893.0 0 0 0 -1.37 0 0
Rocco Paulson - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Averyon Sands-Hannah - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Slayton Stroschein - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Trae Widiker - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 2.0 55.8 0 0 0 -1.37 0 0
Micah Young - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -11 -1.2 -307.0 0 0 0 -1.37 0 0
Dillon Bement - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kegan Heiderscheidt - 2 10.0 0.0 2.5 1.5 0.0 1.0 0.5 2.0 2.5 13 3.2 15.0 0.0 0 0 0.6 0.0 0.0
Julias Hendricks - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -10 -10.0 -14.7 0 0 0 0.11 0 0
Brady Ingersoll - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 23 2.1 641.9 0 0 0 -1.39 0 0
Eli Johnson - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -6 -2.0 -66.7 0 0 0 -0.93 0 0
Winston Knox - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -8 -2.7 -102.7 0 0 0 -1.01 0 0
Brayden Lenzmeier - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -6 -3.0 -142.6 0 0 0 -1.31 0 0
Isaak Mamot - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -5 -2.5 -139.5 0 0 0 -1.39 0 0
Quincy Oriwa - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Gabriel Torres - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Noah Washa - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jacob Becher - 2 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Steven Colon - 2 2.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Kenyon Davis - 2 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 -0.84 0.0 0.0
Soren Anderson - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Nate Davies - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Tait Deedrick - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Noah Deedrick - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
AJ Greene - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kollin Kaemingk - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Tyson Misegades - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Peter Norby - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Connor Andree - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Joich Gong - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Brock Bruns - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Martin Askenazi - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Braden Barger - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Leyton Barr - 1 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Tyler Brown - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1 -0.5 -3.7 0 0 0 -0.33 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG