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Minn. Duluth

Also known as: Minn. Duluth
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2023 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1026 (#274) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1053 (#245) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 987 (#538) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -9.6 (#524) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.993 (#160) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +21.6 More → 0.923 (#165) AdjNet +21.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +21.1 More → 0.923 (#164) AdjNet +21.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.6 | AdjD 65.2 More → 0.802 (#175) AdjO 80.6 | AdjD 65.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 80.1 More → 0.422 (#552) AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 80.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.363 (#529) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.375 (#524) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 23 More → 985 (#383) RD 104 | GP 23

2023 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2022-11-09 @ Concordia-M'head W 74 - 69
2022-11-11 @ Rockford L 52 - 87
2022-11-15 @ Presentation L 60 - 71
2022-11-18 @ Bemidji St. L 83 - 99
2022-11-19 @ Oak Hills Christian W 107 - 67
2022-11-22 @ Mayville St. L 84 - 85
2022-11-28 @ Augsburg W 65 - 60
2022-12-01 vs Oak Hills Christian W 94 - 59
2022-12-04 vs Presentation L 65 - 77
2022-12-09 @ North Central (MN) W 67 - 59
2022-12-10 @ Northwestern-St. Paul W 93 - 83
2023-01-07 @ Crown (MN) W 72 - 65
2023-01-13 vs Northland L 71 - 75
2023-01-14 vs Wis.-Superior L 66 - 72
2023-01-20 @ Bethany Lutheran L 86 - 93
2023-01-21 @ Martin Luther W 87 - 63
2023-01-24 @ Trinity Bible (ND) W 86 - 79
2023-01-28 vs Crown (MN) W 79 - 68
2023-01-30 vs Macalester L 59 - 61
2023-02-03 vs Northwestern-St. Paul L 86 - 96
2023-02-04 vs North Central (MN) W 79 - 72
2023-02-10 vs Martin Luther W 100 - 74
2023-02-11 vs Bethany Lutheran L 72 - 74
2023-02-17 @ Wis.-Superior L 74 - 82
2023-02-18 @ Northland W 74 - 70
2023-02-24 @ Bethany Lutheran L 74 - 87

2023 Roster

No roster data available for this season.