Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1011 (#361) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1018 (#360) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1000 (#463) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +20.9 (#116) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.996 (#138) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.977 (#93) | AdjNet +32.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.978 (#95) | AdjNet +31.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.930 (#54) | AdjO 97.2 | AdjD 68.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.761 (#52) | AdjO 88.7 | AdjD 75.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.784 (#119) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.749 (#141) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1029 (#316) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-06 | vs | Wis.-Stout | W | 91 - 73 |
| 2023-11-17 | vs | Luther | W | 85 - 56 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BJ Freeman | - | 1 | 30.0 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 18.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 37.5 | 50.0 | - | 58.2 | 58.3 |
| Kentrell Pullian | - | 2 | 28.0 | 12.5 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 11.5 | 18.0 | - | - | - | 34.8 | 21.4 | 75.0 | - | 47.1 | 41.3 |
| Angelo Stuart | - | 2 | 17.5 | 12.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 8.5 | 6.5 | - | - | - | 52.9 | 50.0 | 40.0 | - | 65.1 | 67.6 |
| Langston Wilson | - | 2 | 13.5 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 6.0 | 12.5 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 33.3 | 70.0 | - | 73.2 | 70.8 |
| Elijah Jamison | - | 2 | 20.0 | 9.5 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | - | 45.5 | 45.0 |
| Zach Howell | - | 2 | 13.0 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 60.0 | 66.7 | - | 79.9 | 81.2 |
| Faizon Fields | - | 2 | 14.5 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 10.5 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 57.0 | 42.9 |
| Erik Pratt | - | 2 | 13.5 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.5 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 30.8 | 37.5 | 0 | - | 42.3 | 42.3 |
| Darius Duffy | - | 2 | 9.5 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 52.1 | 75.0 |
| Markeith Browning II | - | 2 | 23.5 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 18.2 | 0.0 | 25.0 | - | 19.6 | 18.2 |
| Dominic Ham | - | 2 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | - | 51.2 | 37.5 |
| Learic Davis | - | 2 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Aaron Franklin | - | 2 | 15.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Simeon Murchison | - | 2 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Vinko Polovic | - | 2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Makuei Riek | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Maurice Thomas | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG