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Milwaukee

Also known as: Milwaukee Panthers
Program History

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More โ†’ Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 774 (#325) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More โ†’ 869 (#336) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -8.2 (#291) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ -6.5 (#271) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.250 (#302) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.4 More โ†’ 0.212 (#286) AdjNet -11.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.4 More โ†’ 0.211 (#286) AdjNet -11.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 71.9 More โ†’ 0.329 (#293) AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 71.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 70.6 More โ†’ 0.377 (#294) AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 70.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.250 (#314) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.258 (#316) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 172 | GP 29 More โ†’ 743 (#329) RD 172 | GP 29

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 @ Boston College Eagles L 53 - 73
2018-11-10 vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks L 60 - 63
2018-11-13 @ Florida International Panthers L 83 - 86
2018-11-16 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 63 - 74
2018-11-20 vs LIU Brooklyn Liu Brooklyn W 92 - 87
2018-11-23 vs UAlbany Great Danes W 79 - 70
2018-11-30 vs Buffalo Bulls L 77 - 96
2018-12-01 vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks L 51 - 66
2018-12-06 vs Drake Bulldogs L 61 - 75
2018-12-09 @ North Dakota Fighting Hawks L 72 - 83
2018-12-13 @ Kansas City Roos W 69 - 66
2018-12-16 vs Wisconsin Lutheran Warriors W 87 - 64
2018-12-22 @ Western Michigan Broncos W 67 - 66
2018-12-29 vs Green Bay Phoenix L 82 - 92
2019-01-03 vs Cleveland State Vikings W 83 - 76
2019-01-05 vs Youngstown State Penguins L 51 - 76
2019-01-10 @ Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 67 - 64
2019-01-12 @ Detroit Mercy Titans L 84 - 93
2019-01-17 vs UIC Flames W 81 - 69
2019-01-19 vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 64 - 57
2019-01-24 @ Wright State Raiders L 54 - 56
2019-01-26 @ Northern Kentucky Norse L 60 - 73
2019-02-01 @ Green Bay Phoenix L 74 - 90
2019-02-07 @ Youngstown State Penguins L 71 - 72
2019-02-09 @ Cleveland State Vikings L 68 - 78
2019-02-14 vs Detroit Mercy Titans L 84 - 90
2019-02-16 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies L 73 - 89
2019-02-22 @ IU Indianapolis Jaguars L 60 - 67
2019-02-24 @ UIC Flames L 59 - 74
2019-02-28 vs Northern Kentucky Norse L 55 - 65
2019-03-02 vs Wright State Raiders L 62 - 65

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Darius Roy Darius Roy G 25 34.8 15.6 4.2 4.1 1.2 0.2 3.1 3.0 19.3 - - - - 48.7 34.8 84.6 - 238.6 53.9
DeAndre Abram DeAndre Abram G 27 32.1 11.0 6.9 1.0 0.7 0.8 1.5 3.1 15.9 - - - - 38.8 31.7 76.9 - 164.2 46.5
Vance Johnson Vance Johnson F 27 21.1 9.9 5.7 1.0 0.4 0.2 1.2 2.4 13.6 - - - - 44.6 30.0 90.0 - 181.6 46.9
Jake Wright Jake Wright G 27 30.9 9.2 1.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.9 2.0 9.5 - - - - 42.6 44.2 100.0 - 218.9 60.2
Carson Warren-Newsome Carson Warren-Newsome G 12 24.3 9.0 3.8 2.2 0.8 0.2 1.5 0.8 13.6 - - - - 60.0 100.0 66.7 - 477.0 80.0
Bryce Barnes Bryce Barnes G 21 25.9 6.4 2.2 2.5 0.8 0.1 2.2 2.0 7.7 - - - - 41.9 25.0 70.0 - 130.3 45.3
Amir Allen Amir Allen C 27 16.0 6.0 4.2 0.6 0.3 1.0 0.7 0.9 10.4 - - - - 52.0 0 40.0 - 254.7 52.0
Will Sessoms Will Sessoms F 27 13.3 4.1 2.7 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.0 5.7 - - - - 29.6 10.0 33.3 - 194.2 31.5
Bobby Arthur-Williams Bobby Arthur-Williams - 27 16.3 2.7 2.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 1.2 0.8 4.3 - - - - 40.9 0.0 80.0 - 150.8 40.9
Tyler Behrendt Tyler Behrendt G 6 6.7 2.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.3 - - - - 60.0 50.0 100.0 - 96.2 70.0
Jamar Madge Jamar Madge - 19 9.1 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.1 - - - - 35.7 37.5 50.0 - 127.7 46.4
V. Baker Jr. V. Baker Jr. - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Elijah Goodman Elijah Goodman - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG