Milligan Buffaloes
Model Outputs
2021-2022
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 982 (#488) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -14.8 (#715) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -29.1 (#626) | HCA +2.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.325 (#625) | AdjO 66.0 | AdjD 74.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.110 (#620) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.141 (#625) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 824 (#597) | RD 350 | GP 4 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-15 | @ | Marshall Thundering Herd | L | 58 - 80 |
| 2021-11-27 | @ | Mercer Bears | L | 49 - 88 |
| 2021-12-05 | @ | Austin Peay Governors | L | 55 - 98 |
| 2021-12-21 | @ | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | L | 54 - 114 |
2022 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
T. Silver
|
G | 1 | 26.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | -25 | -0.9 | -1.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
LJ Thorpe
|
F | 1 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 |
Q. Kimble
|
G | 1 | 26.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 | 130 | 4.6 | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.25 | 0 | 0 |
L. Lawson
|
F | 1 | 22.0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 45 | 2.6 | 8.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 |
J. Gabriel
|
- | 3 | 27.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 9.3 | - | - | - | 54.5 | 62.5 | 0 | -1.24 | 150.0 | 77.3 |
C. Jude
|
F | 1 | 26.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 123 | 3.8 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.84 | 0 | 0 |
T. Hensley
|
- | 3 | 26.0 | 7.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.52 | 139.6 | 42.9 |
L. Knox
|
- | 4 | 25.0 | 7.2 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 10.2 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.96 | 373.7 | 33.3 |
S. Sanad
|
- | 4 | 22.5 | 6.8 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 8.2 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.06 | 174.0 | 33.3 |
A. Graham
|
- | 4 | 21.2 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 20.0 | 0 | -1.0 | 162.5 | 31.2 |
J. Thomas
|
- | 3 | 24.7 | 6.3 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 9.0 | -291 | -9.1 | -14.1 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.05 | 237.5 | 25.0 |
J. Greco
|
- | 1 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | -14 | -0.6 | -1.9 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.11 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
F. Carlson
|
- | 4 | 17.2 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 6.2 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.65 | 295.1 | 0.0 |
E. Walker
|
F | 1 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -95 | -3.3 | -6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.98 | 0 | 0 |
A. Chambers
|
- | 2 | 21.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 6.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.38 | 0 | 0 |
M. Beyers
|
F | 1 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -78 | -2.7 | -5.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.28 | 0 | 0 |
N. Scott
|
- | 1 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | -166 | -5.5 | -8.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.22 | 0 | 0 |
J. Wilson
|
- | 4 | 9.5 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.2 | 233 | 6.3 | 8.7 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.76 | 150.0 | 25.0 |
P. Korent
|
- | 4 | 17.2 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3.8 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.99 | 150.0 | 25.0 |
A. Inman
|
- | 3 | 18.3 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2.7 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.63 | 58.3 | 0.0 |
J. Tucker
|
- | 1 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | -24 | -0.8 | -2.4 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.19 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
M. McNulty
|
- | 2 | 9.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
J. Dillon
|
- | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -15 | -1.5 | -8.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 |
D. Peavy
|
G | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -2.0 | -95 | -3.7 | -12.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.97 | 0 | 0 |
D. Collins
|
- | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 135 | 4.1 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.43 | 0 | 0 |
C. Clements
|
- | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG