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Millersville

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Millersville
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 990 (#288) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 979 (#303) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1038 (#175) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -4.3 (#216) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -5.6 (#448) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.523 (#351) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -2.3 More → 0.421 (#295) NetEff -2.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.5 More → 0.429 (#433) AdjNet -2.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.1 More → 0.439 (#432) AdjNet -2.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 63.2 More → 0.475 (#428) AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 63.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 65.5 More → 0.390 (#534) AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 65.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.436 (#417) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.429 (#417) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 22 More → 1043 (#213) RD 98 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Lincoln (PA) W 75 - 66
2025-11-15 @ Fayetteville St. L 62 - 64
2025-11-19 @ Frostburg St. W 81 - 59
2025-12-01 vs Bowie St. L 45 - 70
2025-12-06 vs Clarion L 71 - 79
2025-12-12 @ Wilmington (DE) W 77 - 49
2025-12-16 @ Edinboro L 62 - 65
2025-12-19 vs Jefferson W 80 - 65
2025-12-21 vs Gannon L 45 - 56
2026-01-02 @ Pitt.-Johnstown L 47 - 69
2026-01-03 @ Indiana (PA) L 49 - 88
2026-01-10 @ Mansfield W 69 - 64
2026-01-13 @ Shippensburg W 79 - 59
2026-01-15 vs Shepherd W 69 - 63
2026-01-17 @ Lock Haven L 48 - 79
2026-01-21 vs Kutztown W 63 - 58
2026-01-24 vs Bloomsburg W 61 - 55
2026-01-31 @ East Stroudsburg L 54 - 81
2026-02-02 @ West Chester W 73 - 59
2026-02-04 vs Shippensburg W 65 - 61
2026-02-07 vs Mansfield L 65 - 67

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Daniella Ranieli - 21 26.9 13.4 2.5 2.4 1.8 0.0 2.7 9.8 7.8 5 0.2 0.9 41.3 44.7 76.9 2.89 57.3 51.5
Bryn Zentner - 17 22.0 9.2 7.9 1.2 1.1 0.7 1.9 8.2 9.9 39 2.2 7.9 42.1 0.0 65.0 -1.11 47.2 42.1
Carley Berk - 21 23.4 8.8 2.8 1.1 1.3 0.4 1.7 7.3 5.3 -4 -0.2 -0.9 40.5 36.5 66.0 1.63 52.6 49.3
Kelly Cleaver - 21 22.5 7.0 6.4 1.1 1.0 2.2 1.4 7.5 8.8 -21 -1.0 -4.3 36.7 33.3 77.8 -1.55 42.0 37.3
Aniya Eberhart - 9 17.5 6.6 3.7 1.8 0.8 0.2 2.0 5.7 5.3 5 0.6 5.8 41.2 27.8 75.0 -0.54 50.8 46.1
Morgan Mahoney - 19 21.7 6.5 4.4 1.1 0.6 1.5 1.8 7.8 4.5 -37 -1.9 -11.4 33.1 27.0 69.6 1.8 39.2 36.5
Madison-Marie Nimmo - 3 14.4 6.3 1.7 2.3 0.7 0.0 2.0 6.0 3.0 -14 -4.7 -54.6 27.8 30.0 75.0 0.7 44.1 36.1
Rhyan Mitchell - 9 25.9 5.9 6.3 1.6 1.0 0.7 3.0 6.1 6.3 19 2.1 9.3 41.8 100.0 37.5 1.1 42.7 42.7
Maddie Nimmo - 9 13.3 4.7 1.4 1.0 0.7 0.0 2.2 3.9 1.7 20 2.0 34.0 28.6 42.9 86.4 -0.62 47.0 32.9
Gabby Bowes - 17 16.4 4.2 2.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.1 3.7 2.8 -44 -2.4 -20.5 30.2 33.3 75.0 -2.4 46.1 37.3
Holly Gohl - 21 14.7 3.4 3.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.0 3.4 4.0 -32 -1.5 -12.0 40.3 27.6 41.7 0.75 45.9 45.8
Jillian Crawford - 21 18.5 3.1 1.9 1.4 0.8 0.2 1.6 4.3 1.5 -25 -0.7 -7.1 24.2 20.0 92.3 -0.15 33.6 29.1
Rachel Boehm - 20 12.5 2.2 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.9 3.8 0.6 -71 -3.4 -28.0 21.3 15.4 60.0 -3.38 27.6 24.0
Cass Moore - 7 4.1 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0 1.4 -0.1 -32 -4.6 -438.9 40.0 0.0 0.0 -1.53 34.0 40.0
Gabrielle Bowes - 4 7.2 1.0 1.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.8 1.2 1.0 -18 -4.5 -67.7 20.0 0.0 100.0 0.51 34.0 20.0
Claire Watson - 4 3.5 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.8 -9 -2.2 -57.1 100.0 100.0 0 0.06 150.0 150.0
Kacie Boyer - 13 4.2 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.2 -9 -0.7 -74.2 12.5 50.0 50.0 -1.86 25.6 18.8
Cydney Stanton - 8 6.0 0.2 1.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.5 0.4 8 1.0 15.5 25.0 0 0 1.03 25.0 25.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG