🐻⬇️🏀

Millersville

Season: 2026 2014 2013
Also known as: Millersville
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1013 (#358) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1028 (#329) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1011 (#356) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +16.5 (#154) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.997 (#122) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +21.7 More → 0.924 (#164) AdjNet +21.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +21.2 More → 0.926 (#163) AdjNet +21.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 84.1 | AdjD 67.4 More → 0.821 (#167) AdjO 84.1 | AdjD 67.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.0 | AdjD 69.9 More → 0.655 (#143) AdjO 77.0 | AdjD 69.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.782 (#121) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.754 (#131) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1045 (#304) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-25 vs Wilson W 96 - 58

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Cesar Tchilombo - 1 19.5 19.0 13.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 21.0 - - - 72.7 0 60.0 - 72.0 72.7
Carnell Henderson - 1 22.8 13.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 9.0 104 5.8 39.6 57.1 50.0 100.0 0.72 74.2 64.3
Day Waters - 1 20.3 13.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 10.0 10.0 - - - 50.0 40.0 100.0 - 62.3 60.0
Aamir Hurst - 1 18.8 12.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 8.0 - - - 50.0 25.0 75.0 - 61.5 56.2
Eleazar Matthews-Spratley - 1 20.9 11.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 7.0 - - - 45.5 25.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Jaylen Bernikow - 1 17.3 8.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 4.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 50.0 - 37.2 33.3
Jase Holland - 1 8.5 8.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 15.0 - - - 100.0 0 100.0 - 103.1 100.0
Amir Cunningham - 1 24.2 6.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 11.0 -108 -6.0 -31.5 50.0 0.0 100.0 -0.67 61.5 50.0
Dante Weise - 1 20.4 6.0 8.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 14.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 100.0 - 51.0 40.0
Kyle Benjamin - 1 5.4 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Malcolm Dread - 1 10.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Murray Grant - 1 8.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Keith Jackson - 1 3.4 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG