Millersville
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1127 (#82) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1153 (#69) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1145 (#37) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.7 (#116) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +9.5 (#164) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.732 (#196) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.982 (#116) | NetEff +38.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.761 (#259) | AdjNet +10.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.790 (#244) | AdjNet +11.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.680 (#251) | AdjO 81.6 | AdjD 73.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.681 (#83) | AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 68.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.763 (#94) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.755 (#89) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1216 (#40) | RD 97 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Virginia Union | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Charleston (WV) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Wilmington (DE) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Jefferson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Wilson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Dominican (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Clarion | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Edinboro | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Bowie St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Gannon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Pitt.-Johnstown | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Indiana (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | East Stroudsburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Mansfield | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Shippensburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Shepherd | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Lock Haven | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Kutztown | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Bloomsburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | East Stroudsburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-02 | @ | West Chester | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Shippensburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Mansfield | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koi D. Kirk Jr. | - | 1 | 24.0 | 20.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | -12 | -1.1 | -10.7 | 77.8 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.38 | 77.2 | 77.8 |
| Day Waters | - | 22 | 34.8 | 18.7 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 15.0 | 10.2 | -47 | -2.2 | -9.9 | 41.8 | 33.8 | 77.3 | -2.54 | 54.3 | 49.4 |
| Isaiah Benbow | - | 1 | 22.0 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 71.4 | 100.0 | 77.8 | -0.05 | 82.1 | 78.6 |
| Saraj Ali | - | 20 | 31.9 | 16.8 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 10.1 | 12.9 | -25 | -1.3 | -6.3 | 62.4 | 0.0 | 75.7 | -2.85 | 67.0 | 62.4 |
| Key'Sean Maynard | - | 1 | 22.0 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 | -26 | -1.9 | -23.7 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 33.3 | -0.64 | 67.8 | 72.2 |
| Aamir Hurst | - | 22 | 28.4 | 11.7 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 8.0 | 8.5 | 66 | 3.0 | 18.2 | 47.4 | 30.6 | 85.7 | 2.18 | 60.6 | 52.9 |
| Eleazar Matthews-Spratley | - | 22 | 21.6 | 10.5 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 8.5 | 4.6 | 28 | 1.3 | 9.7 | 42.6 | 34.9 | 89.2 | 2.11 | 56.3 | 52.4 |
| Reginald Dillard | - | 1 | 29.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | -17 | -1.4 | -82.1 | 40.0 | 28.6 | 0 | 0.87 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Carnell Henderson | - | 22 | 20.5 | 7.4 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 6.6 | 4.8 | 28 | 1.3 | 9.3 | 41.1 | 28.2 | 67.6 | 1.28 | 50.6 | 47.9 |
| Cesar Tchilombo | - | 22 | 23.9 | 6.8 | 8.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 3.8 | 13.2 | 91 | 4.3 | 26.5 | 62.7 | 0.0 | 64.8 | 8.08 | 65.7 | 62.7 |
| Jase Holland | - | 11 | 11.7 | 5.4 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 6.6 | -27 | -2.5 | -25.9 | 84.4 | 0 | 50.0 | -3.1 | 81.0 | 84.4 |
| Dante Weise | - | 22 | 19.9 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 3.0 | 7.3 | 48 | 2.1 | 18.5 | 44.8 | 35.7 | 76.2 | 1.95 | 53.1 | 48.5 |
| Malcolm Dread | - | 19 | 13.2 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.4 | 2.4 | -28 | -1.6 | -15.8 | 32.8 | 33.3 | 71.4 | 0.41 | 47.0 | 45.3 |
| Tyler Edore | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.61 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jaylen Bernikow | - | 5 | 5.0 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 23.1 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 27.1 | 23.1 |
| Amir Cunningham | - | 17 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.8 | -8 | -0.5 | -27.5 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.46 | 60.8 | 50.0 |
| Keith Jackson | - | 2 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -33 | -2.4 | -28.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.16 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Murray Grant | - | 5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -3 | -0.8 | -128.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -3.63 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kyle Benjamin | - | 2 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ethan Benne | - | 4 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1 | 0.3 | 68.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ron Brown III | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Elijah Cherry | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -3 | -3.0 | -9.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG