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Millersville

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Millersville
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1020 (#161) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1123 (#85) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1145 (#37) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +11.2 (#87) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +9.5 (#164) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.732 (#196) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +38.4 More → 0.982 (#116) NetEff +38.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.1 More → 0.761 (#259) AdjNet +10.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.4 More → 0.790 (#244) AdjNet +11.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.6 | AdjD 73.3 More → 0.680 (#251) AdjO 81.6 | AdjD 73.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 68.9 More → 0.681 (#83) AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 68.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.763 (#94) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.755 (#88) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 97 | GP 23 More → 1219 (#38) RD 97 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Virginia Union W 82 - 66
2025-11-15 vs Charleston (WV) L 84 - 89
2025-11-19 @ Wilmington (DE) L 99 - 101
2025-11-22 vs Jefferson W 88 - 74
2025-11-25 vs Wilson W 96 - 58
2025-12-03 @ Dominican (NY) W 106 - 96
2025-12-06 vs Clarion W 75 - 68
2025-12-16 @ Edinboro W 85 - 73
2025-12-19 vs Bowie St. W 88 - 71
2025-12-21 vs Gannon L 70 - 74
2026-01-02 @ Pitt.-Johnstown W 87 - 68
2026-01-03 @ Indiana (PA) L 77 - 80
2026-01-07 vs East Stroudsburg L 68 - 74
2026-01-10 @ Mansfield W 82 - 62
2026-01-13 @ Shippensburg W 72 - 70
2026-01-15 vs Shepherd W 69 - 60
2026-01-17 @ Lock Haven L 77 - 86
2026-01-21 vs Kutztown W 85 - 67
2026-01-24 vs Bloomsburg W 78 - 53
2026-01-31 @ East Stroudsburg L 77 - 87
2026-02-02 @ West Chester W 82 - 75
2026-02-04 vs Shippensburg W 78 - 60
2026-02-07 vs Mansfield W 80 - 64

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Koi D. Kirk Jr. - 1 24.0 20.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 14.0 -12 -1.1 -10.7 77.8 0.0 66.7 -1.08 77.2 77.8
Day Waters - 22 34.8 18.7 5.0 1.4 1.2 0.8 1.9 15.0 10.2 -47 -2.2 -9.9 41.8 33.8 77.3 -1.37 54.3 49.4
Isaiah Benbow - 1 22.0 18.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 11.0 - - - 71.4 100.0 77.8 - 82.1 78.6
Saraj Ali - 20 31.9 16.8 5.2 1.8 1.1 0.8 2.7 10.1 12.9 -25 -1.3 -6.3 62.4 0.0 75.7 -0.11 67.0 62.4
Key'Sean Maynard - 1 22.0 14.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 10.0 -26 -1.9 -23.7 66.7 50.0 33.3 0.22 67.8 72.2
Aamir Hurst - 22 28.4 11.7 2.6 2.0 1.6 0.6 2.2 8.0 8.5 66 3.0 18.2 47.4 30.6 85.7 -1.51 60.6 52.9
Eleazar Matthews-Spratley - 22 21.6 10.5 1.9 1.9 0.6 0.1 1.8 8.5 4.6 28 1.3 9.7 42.6 34.9 89.2 1.29 56.3 52.4
Reginald Dillard - 1 29.0 10.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 5.0 -17 -1.4 -82.1 40.0 28.6 0 -0.61 50.0 50.0
Carnell Henderson - 22 20.5 7.4 2.8 0.9 1.3 0.1 1.1 6.6 4.8 28 1.3 9.3 41.1 28.2 67.6 0.39 50.6 47.9
Cesar Tchilombo - 22 23.9 6.8 8.6 0.9 0.6 1.2 1.2 3.8 13.2 91 4.3 26.5 62.7 0.0 64.8 4.62 65.7 62.7
Jase Holland - 11 11.6 5.4 2.5 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.5 2.9 6.6 -27 -2.5 -25.9 84.4 0 50.0 -1.22 81.0 84.4
Dante Weise - 22 19.9 3.7 2.8 3.3 1.2 0.5 1.1 3.0 7.3 48 2.1 18.5 44.8 35.7 76.2 2.87 53.1 48.5
Malcolm Dread - 19 13.2 3.3 1.7 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.6 3.4 2.4 -28 -1.6 -15.8 32.8 33.3 71.4 -1.74 47.0 45.3
Tyler Edore - 1 8.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -1.0 0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0 0 1.45 100.0 100.0
Jaylen Bernikow - 5 4.9 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 2.6 0.0 - - - 23.1 0.0 50.0 - 27.1 23.1
Amir Cunningham - 17 5.7 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.8 -8 -0.5 -27.5 50.0 0.0 75.0 -0.62 60.8 50.0
Ethan Benne - 4 1.1 0.0 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 1 0.3 68.6 0.0 0.0 0 0.03 0.0 0.0
Murray Grant - 5 3.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 -3 -0.8 -128.6 0.0 0 0 0.05 0.0 0.0
Kyle Benjamin - 2 3.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Ron Brown III - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Keith Jackson - 2 1.7 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -33 -2.4 -28.8 0.0 0.0 0 -0.6 0.0 0.0
Elijah Cherry - 1 5.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -3 -3.0 -9.5 0 0 0 -0.52 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG