🐻⬇️🏀

Midway

Season: 2026 2024 2019
Also known as: Midway
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 970 (#354) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 969 (#320) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 992 (#438) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -19.1 (#591) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.032 (#587) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -18.5 More → 0.106 (#589) AdjNet -18.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -17.9 More → 0.106 (#588) AdjNet -17.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 78.3 More → 0.220 (#608) AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 78.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 67.3 More → 0.413 (#515) AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 67.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.251 (#564) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.277 (#549) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 921 (#341) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-26 @ Ky. Wesleyan L 61 - 95

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Alexis Taylor - 1 24.9 17.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 12.0 2 0.1 1.2 54.5 0 55.6 -0.81 56.8 54.5
A'Lyrica Hughes - 1 22.0 13.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 10.0 - - - 66.7 0 62.5 - 68.3 66.7
Trinity Johnson - 1 25.1 6.0 6.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 8.0 19 0.8 3.7 25.0 0.0 100.0 0.39 33.8 25.0
Paige Medley - 1 15.4 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 75.0 - 43.4 25.0
Kiera Couch - 1 7.7 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 - - - 66.7 0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Aleah Arlinghaus - 1 11.5 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 100.0 - 61.5 50.0
Alexys Moore - 1 23.1 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 4.0 -4.0 - - - 25.0 25.0 0 - 37.5 37.5
Annabelle Babb - 1 6.3 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 100.0 - 53.2 0.0
Jenna Phelps - 1 7.4 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Morgan Cross - 1 11.3 2.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 1.0 - - - 16.7 0.0 0 - 16.7 16.7
Jermyra Christian - 1 19.4 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 7.0 -1.0 - - - 14.3 0.0 0 - 14.3 14.3
Lauren Walton - 1 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 50.0 - 26.6 0.0
Kristen Whited - 1 4.9 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0 25.0 - 18.1 0.0
Taryn Morris - 1 3.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Heleina John - 1 5.2 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Maddie Nipper - 1 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -4.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG