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Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2019 2018 2017 2016
Also known as: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Program History
Coach: Nick McDevitt

2022 Team Stats (3 games)

74.7
PPG
68.4
Opp
+7.4
Margin
38.2%
FG%
26.8%
3P%
68.8%
FT%
42.7
RPG
10.7
APG
15.3
TO
93.0
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1201 (#128) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1273 (#118) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 1112 (#50) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +23.9 (#163) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +17.8 (#94) HCA +2.4
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +3.8 More → 0.616 (#87) NetEff +3.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 67.6 More → 0.674 (#50) AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 67.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.847 (#80) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.827 (#72) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 105 | GP 32 More → 1224 (#57) RD 105 | GP 32

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 vs Brescia University Bearcats W 98 - 59
2021-11-12 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 71 - 51
2021-11-16 vs Winthrop Eagles W 76 - 65
2021-11-19 @ Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks L 74 - 87
2021-11-23 @ Rider Broncs W 60 - 54
2021-11-27 vs Bryan College Lions W 96 - 48
2021-12-01 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 73 - 61
2021-12-04 @ Murray State Racers L 87 - 93
2021-12-11 @ UT Martin Skyhawks W 84 - 75
2021-12-15 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 52 - 62
2021-12-19 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 84 - 80
2021-12-22 @ Chattanooga Mocs L 65 - 77
2022-01-13 vs Florida Atlantic Owls W 70 - 57
2022-01-15 vs Florida International Panthers W 50 - 39
2022-01-22 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles W 74 - 60
2022-01-27 @ Marshall Thundering Herd W 81 - 79
2022-01-29 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 93 - 85
2022-02-05 @ UAB Blazers L 75 - 97
2022-02-07 vs UTSA Roadrunners W 84 - 75
2022-02-10 vs Old Dominion Monarchs W 63 - 48
2022-02-13 vs Charlotte 49ers W 78 - 63
2022-02-17 @ Florida International Panthers W 71 - 65
2022-02-19 @ Florida Atlantic Owls W 87 - 79
2022-02-21 vs UTEP Miners W 77 - 59
2022-02-24 vs Marshall Thundering Herd W 74 - 65
2022-02-26 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 69 - 52
2022-03-02 @ Charlotte 49ers L 56 - 60
2022-03-05 @ Old Dominion Monarchs L 64 - 68
2022-03-10 vs UTEP Miners W 66 - 59
2022-03-11 vs UAB Blazers L 98 - 102
2022-03-22 @ Abilene Christian Wildcats W 85 - 69
2022-03-23 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 90 - 96

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Jefferson J. Jefferson G 3 30.7 15.7 1.7 2.3 0.7 0.0 1.0 2.0 17.3 -125 -6.9 -10.7 16.7 0.0 0 0.57 391.7 16.7
D. Sims D. Sims G 8 31.4 12.6 6.2 2.2 1.2 0.0 2.0 6.4 14.0 89 2.4 3.5 35.3 29.2 88.2 0.08 86.4 42.2
E. Lawrence E. Lawrence - 32 26.6 11.4 4.5 1.0 1.3 0.5 1.2 2.5 15.0 164 4.4 6.9 41.2 34.1 80.0 1.41 200.5 50.0
D. Dishman D. Dishman - 32 27.5 9.4 4.6 2.1 1.0 0.6 2.3 2.3 13.1 161 4.4 6.4 52.0 0 59.0 0.98 163.8 52.0
Camryn Weston Camryn Weston G 32 20.4 9.3 3.8 2.8 1.2 0.1 2.4 1.4 13.3 245 6.6 12.6 45.7 46.7 87.5 1.85 248.0 53.3
E. Winchester E. Winchester G 2 26.0 9.0 3.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.5 0.0 12.0 71 2.3 4.1 0 0 0 0.43 0 0
T. Lenard Jr. T. Lenard Jr. - 32 19.7 6.7 3.2 0.6 0.9 1.5 1.2 1.5 10.2 -64 -2.1 -3.4 48.9 23.5 72.7 2.36 207.4 53.2
Tyler Millin Tyler Millin - 4 25.5 4.5 3.8 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.8 9.2 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.23 232.0 0.0
Justin Bufford Justin Bufford G 32 19.0 3.5 2.7 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.8 6.4 100 2.7 5.7 33.3 25.0 50.0 0.73 170.4 38.9
Christian Fussell Christian Fussell F 32 12.6 2.9 2.3 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.5 5.3 137 3.7 11.5 41.2 37.5 75.0 0.83 229.0 50.0
E. King E. King - 22 7.3 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.7 3.4 - - - 33.3 9.1 60.0 -0.09 165.7 36.7
B. Baruti B. Baruti F 2 11.5 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 3.0 105 3.3 8.8 0 0 0 0.91 0 0
Brian Coffey II Brian Coffey II G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
I. Turner I. Turner - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -3.0 24 3.4 11.3 0.0 0.0 0 0.21 0.0 0.0
J. White J. White - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -44 -2.4 -12.9 0 0 0 0.06 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG