Mid-Atlantic Christ.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 999 (#384) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 958 (#423) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 994 (#502) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -13.6 (#591) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.184 (#681) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.057 (#689) | AdjNet -24.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.054 (#688) | AdjNet -24.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.156 (#694) | AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 88.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.422 (#551) | AdjO 75.3 | AdjD 78.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.315 (#565) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.337 (#558) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 986 (#400) | RD 302 | GP 4 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 | @ | William Peace | L | 78 - 80 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Warren Wilson | W | 89 - 66 |
| 2025-12-05 | @ | N.C. Wesleyan | L | 83 - 100 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Greensboro | W | 85 - 82 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janus Shepherd | - | 4 | 28.3 | 19.0 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 13.2 | 9.8 | -45 | -3.5 | -39.5 | 47.2 | 46.2 | 66.7 | -1.29 | 61.1 | 58.5 |
| Tyus Williams | - | 4 | 24.4 | 13.5 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 9.0 | 9.5 | 92 | 4.2 | 47.5 | 58.3 | 57.1 | 72.7 | 1.34 | 66.1 | 63.9 |
| Stewart Clough | - | 4 | 25.0 | 12.8 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 9.8 | 10.5 | - | - | - | 46.2 | 41.7 | 66.7 | - | 55.9 | 52.6 |
| Keith Shakes Jr. | - | 3 | 21.4 | 9.0 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 10.3 | 3.0 | 148 | 7.4 | 38.8 | 35.5 | 25.0 | 57.1 | 3.36 | 39.6 | 37.1 |
| Samuel Boyd | - | 4 | 21.4 | 8.2 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 6.0 | 9.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 41.4 | 54.2 | 0 | 43.8 | -0.29 | 53.2 | 54.2 |
| Nikko Trafton | - | 4 | 15.8 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 4.2 | 5.5 | - | - | - | 47.1 | 28.6 | 83.3 | - | 62.8 | 52.9 |
| Elijah Dias | - | 4 | 11.7 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 6.2 | 4.2 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 37.4 | 40.0 |
| Terrance Williams | - | 4 | 13.0 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 92 | 4.2 | 47.5 | 31.6 | 0.0 | 71.4 | 1.34 | 38.5 | 31.6 |
| Keondre Rodgers | - | 2 | 9.8 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.5 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 78.8 | 75.0 |
| Uriah Logan | - | 4 | 23.1 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 1.2 | - | - | - | 22.2 | 20.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Carlos Raven | - | 2 | 3.9 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Derrick Bolden | - | 1 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Janai Williams | - | 4 | 10.6 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 32 | 2.3 | 47.9 | 33.3 | 0 | 100.0 | -2.75 | 38.8 | 33.3 |
| Jake Harper | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -2.0 | 57 | 2.6 | 19.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.51 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG