Michigan
Model Outputs
2001-2002
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1009 (#150) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 966 (#188) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 932 (#245) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +3.1 (#115) | HCA +4.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +3.0 (#113) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.315 (#237) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.617 (#122) | AdjNet +4.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.620 (#122) | AdjNet +4.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.540 (#138) | AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 66.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.463 (#200) | AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 67.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.504 (#158) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.489 (#168) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 959 (#195) | RD 130 | GP 28 |
2002 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001-11-16 | vs | Oakland | W | 81 - 73 |
| 2001-11-20 | vs | Fairfield | W | 88 - 59 |
| 2001-11-23 | @ | Western Michigan | L | 73 - 79 |
| 2001-11-28 | @ | Bowling Green | L | 59 - 65 |
| 2001-12-01 | vs | Boston College | L | 74 - 83 |
| 2001-12-08 | vs | Duke | L | 83 - 104 |
| 2001-12-22 | vs | Eastern Michigan | W | 88 - 58 |
| 2001-12-29 | N | San Francisco | L | 47 - 55 |
| 2002-01-02 | @ | Penn State | W | 67 - 63 |
| 2002-01-05 | vs | Purdue | W | 79 - 75 |
| 2002-01-09 | @ | Minnesota | L | 82 - 90 |
| 2002-01-12 | @ | Illinois | L | 70 - 94 |
| 2002-01-16 | vs | Northwestern | L | 54 - 58 |
| 2002-01-19 | vs | Minnesota | W | 71 - 69 |
| 2002-01-24 | @ | Ohio State | L | 47 - 69 |
| 2002-01-26 | vs | Vermont | W | 75 - 62 |
| 2002-01-30 | @ | Michigan State | L | 44 - 71 |
| 2002-02-02 | vs | Wisconsin | W | 64 - 53 |
| 2002-02-07 | vs | Illinois | L | 60 - 68 |
| 2002-02-09 | vs | Penn State | W | 65 - 58 |
| 2002-02-11 | @ | Colorado State | L | 66 - 70 |
| 2002-02-13 | @ | Purdue | L | 43 - 79 |
| 2002-02-17 | vs | Indiana | L | 55 - 75 |
| 2002-02-23 | @ | Iowa | L | 56 - 76 |
| 2002-02-27 | @ | Wisconsin | L | 54 - 74 |
| 2002-03-02 | vs | Ohio State | L | 75 - 84 |
| 2002-03-07 | N | Northwestern | W | 72 - 51 |
| 2002-03-08 | N | Ohio State | L | 68 - 75 |
2002 Roster
No roster data available for this season.