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Michigan

Also known as: Michigan Wolverines, Michigan
Program History

Model Outputs

2001-2002
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1009 (#150) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 966 (#188) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More โ†’ 932 (#245) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +4.0 More โ†’ +3.1 (#115) HCA +4.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +3.0 (#113) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.315 (#237) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.1 More โ†’ 0.617 (#122) AdjNet +4.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.2 More โ†’ 0.620 (#122) AdjNet +4.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 66.1 More โ†’ 0.540 (#138) AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 66.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 67.3 More โ†’ 0.463 (#200) AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 67.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.504 (#158) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.489 (#168) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 130 | GP 28 More โ†’ 959 (#195) RD 130 | GP 28

2002 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2001-11-16 vs Oakland W 81 - 73
2001-11-20 vs Fairfield W 88 - 59
2001-11-23 @ Western Michigan L 73 - 79
2001-11-28 @ Bowling Green L 59 - 65
2001-12-01 vs Boston College L 74 - 83
2001-12-08 vs Duke L 83 - 104
2001-12-22 vs Eastern Michigan W 88 - 58
2001-12-29 N San Francisco L 47 - 55
2002-01-02 @ Penn State W 67 - 63
2002-01-05 vs Purdue W 79 - 75
2002-01-09 @ Minnesota L 82 - 90
2002-01-12 @ Illinois L 70 - 94
2002-01-16 vs Northwestern L 54 - 58
2002-01-19 vs Minnesota W 71 - 69
2002-01-24 @ Ohio State L 47 - 69
2002-01-26 vs Vermont W 75 - 62
2002-01-30 @ Michigan State L 44 - 71
2002-02-02 vs Wisconsin W 64 - 53
2002-02-07 vs Illinois L 60 - 68
2002-02-09 vs Penn State W 65 - 58
2002-02-11 @ Colorado State L 66 - 70
2002-02-13 @ Purdue L 43 - 79
2002-02-17 vs Indiana L 55 - 75
2002-02-23 @ Iowa L 56 - 76
2002-02-27 @ Wisconsin L 54 - 74
2002-03-02 vs Ohio State L 75 - 84
2002-03-07 N Northwestern W 72 - 51
2002-03-08 N Ohio State L 68 - 75

2002 Roster

No roster data available for this season.