๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Michigan

Also known as: Michigan Wolverines, Michigan
Program History

Model Outputs

1992-1993
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1558 (#2) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1454 (#3) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +108 elo More โ†’ 1273 (#2) HCA +108 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +21.5 (#7) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ +21.9 (#6) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.820 (#19) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +28.1 More โ†’ 0.963 (#6) AdjNet +28.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +28.4 More โ†’ 0.963 (#6) AdjNet +28.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 84.7 | AdjD 65.1 More โ†’ 0.856 (#7) AdjO 84.7 | AdjD 65.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 83.0 | AdjD 67.4 More โ†’ 0.804 (#7) AdjO 83.0 | AdjD 67.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.920 (#5) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.914 (#5) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 88 | GP 36 More โ†’ 1464 (#2) RD 88 | GP 36

1993 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1992-12-01 @ Rice W 75 - 71
1992-12-05 @ Duke L 68 - 79
1992-12-07 vs Detroit Mercy W 92 - 77
1992-12-09 vs Bowling Green W 79 - 68
1992-12-14 vs Cleveland State W 88 - 56
1992-12-19 N Iowa State W 94 - 72
1992-12-21 vs Central Michigan W 94 - 69
1992-12-27 N Nebraska W 88 - 73
1992-12-28 N North Carolina W 79 - 78
1992-12-29 N Kansas W 86 - 74
1993-01-02 vs Eastern Michigan W 88 - 58
1993-01-07 @ Purdue W 80 - 70
1993-01-09 @ Wisconsin W 98 - 73
1993-01-12 vs Indiana L 75 - 76
1993-01-16 vs Notre Dame W 70 - 55
1993-01-20 @ Minnesota W 80 - 73
1993-01-23 vs Illinois W 76 - 68
1993-01-26 vs Ohio State W 72 - 62
1993-01-31 @ Iowa L 80 - 88
1993-02-02 @ Michigan State W 73 - 69
1993-02-07 vs Purdue W 84 - 76
1993-02-10 vs Wisconsin W 85 - 66
1993-02-14 @ Indiana L 92 - 93
1993-02-17 @ Penn State W 80 - 70
1993-02-20 vs Minnesota W 84 - 69
1993-02-28 @ Ohio State W 66 - 64
1993-03-02 vs Iowa W 82 - 73
1993-03-07 vs Michigan State W 87 - 81
1993-03-10 @ Illinois W 98 - 97
1993-03-13 vs Northwestern W 86 - 60
1993-03-19 N Coastal Carolina W 84 - 53
1993-03-21 N UCLA W 86 - 84
1993-03-26 N George Washington W 72 - 64
1993-03-28 N Temple W 77 - 72
1993-04-03 N Kentucky W 81 - 78
1993-04-05 N North Carolina L 71 - 77

1993 Roster

No roster data available for this season.