Michigan
Model Outputs
1992-1993
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1558 (#2) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1454 (#3) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1273 (#2) | HCA +108 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +21.5 (#7) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +21.9 (#6) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.820 (#19) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.963 (#6) | AdjNet +28.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.963 (#6) | AdjNet +28.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.856 (#7) | AdjO 84.7 | AdjD 65.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.804 (#7) | AdjO 83.0 | AdjD 67.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.920 (#5) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.914 (#5) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1464 (#2) | RD 88 | GP 36 |
1993 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1992-12-01 | @ | Rice | W | 75 - 71 |
| 1992-12-05 | @ | Duke | L | 68 - 79 |
| 1992-12-07 | vs | Detroit Mercy | W | 92 - 77 |
| 1992-12-09 | vs | Bowling Green | W | 79 - 68 |
| 1992-12-14 | vs | Cleveland State | W | 88 - 56 |
| 1992-12-19 | N | Iowa State | W | 94 - 72 |
| 1992-12-21 | vs | Central Michigan | W | 94 - 69 |
| 1992-12-27 | N | Nebraska | W | 88 - 73 |
| 1992-12-28 | N | North Carolina | W | 79 - 78 |
| 1992-12-29 | N | Kansas | W | 86 - 74 |
| 1993-01-02 | vs | Eastern Michigan | W | 88 - 58 |
| 1993-01-07 | @ | Purdue | W | 80 - 70 |
| 1993-01-09 | @ | Wisconsin | W | 98 - 73 |
| 1993-01-12 | vs | Indiana | L | 75 - 76 |
| 1993-01-16 | vs | Notre Dame | W | 70 - 55 |
| 1993-01-20 | @ | Minnesota | W | 80 - 73 |
| 1993-01-23 | vs | Illinois | W | 76 - 68 |
| 1993-01-26 | vs | Ohio State | W | 72 - 62 |
| 1993-01-31 | @ | Iowa | L | 80 - 88 |
| 1993-02-02 | @ | Michigan State | W | 73 - 69 |
| 1993-02-07 | vs | Purdue | W | 84 - 76 |
| 1993-02-10 | vs | Wisconsin | W | 85 - 66 |
| 1993-02-14 | @ | Indiana | L | 92 - 93 |
| 1993-02-17 | @ | Penn State | W | 80 - 70 |
| 1993-02-20 | vs | Minnesota | W | 84 - 69 |
| 1993-02-28 | @ | Ohio State | W | 66 - 64 |
| 1993-03-02 | vs | Iowa | W | 82 - 73 |
| 1993-03-07 | vs | Michigan State | W | 87 - 81 |
| 1993-03-10 | @ | Illinois | W | 98 - 97 |
| 1993-03-13 | vs | Northwestern | W | 86 - 60 |
| 1993-03-19 | N | Coastal Carolina | W | 84 - 53 |
| 1993-03-21 | N | UCLA | W | 86 - 84 |
| 1993-03-26 | N | George Washington | W | 72 - 64 |
| 1993-03-28 | N | Temple | W | 77 - 72 |
| 1993-04-03 | N | Kentucky | W | 81 - 78 |
| 1993-04-05 | N | North Carolina | L | 71 - 77 |
1993 Roster
No roster data available for this season.