Michigan Tech
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1123 (#76) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1216 (#35) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1026 (#208) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +16.9 (#37) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.8 (#239) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.518 (#354) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.591 (#249) | NetEff +3.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.904 (#200) | AdjNet +19.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.914 (#200) | AdjNet +20.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.772 (#194) | AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 58.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.573 (#209) | AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 62.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.732 (#149) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.706 (#165) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1083 (#162) | RD 102 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Lewis | W | 68 - 55 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Upper Iowa | W | 70 - 30 |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Minn. Duluth | W | 79 - 69 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | St. Cloud St. | W | 69 - 66 |
| 2025-11-28 | @ | Concordia-St. Paul | L | 61 - 78 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Winona St. | L | 54 - 78 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Roosevelt | W | 64 - 48 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Wis.-Parkside | W | 65 - 60 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Mo.-St. Louis | W | 68 - 62 |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Northwood | W | 89 - 87 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Grand Valley St. | L | 53 - 73 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Davenport | W | 71 - 65 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Ferris St. | L | 64 - 73 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Saginaw Valley | W | 59 - 40 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Lake Superior St. | W | 68 - 57 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Wayne St. (MI) | L | 83 - 86 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Purdue Northwest | W | 73 - 46 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Davenport | L | 51 - 63 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Grand Valley St. | L | 62 - 76 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Lake Superior St. | W | 89 - 76 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Saginaw Valley | W | 68 - 67 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Mason | - | 21 | 28.7 | 14.7 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 11.6 | 6.8 | 43 | 2.0 | 8.4 | 41.2 | 36.2 | 89.4 | -1.6 | 56.8 | 51.4 |
| Alyssa Wypych | - | 21 | 30.1 | 11.7 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 8.7 | 8.5 | 11 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 45.4 | 38.8 | 85.7 | -2.61 | 58.4 | 52.5 |
| Soraya Timms | - | 21 | 33.6 | 11.5 | 3.5 | 4.6 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 3.0 | 9.7 | 8.2 | 74 | 3.4 | 11.8 | 43.1 | 34.7 | 94.1 | -0.89 | 55.0 | 51.2 |
| Janie Tormanen | - | 16 | 22.8 | 11.1 | 6.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 9.2 | 8.6 | 83 | 4.9 | 54.4 | 54.4 | 16.7 | 70.8 | 2.8 | 56.5 | 54.8 |
| Kendall Standfest | - | 21 | 27.8 | 10.0 | 6.5 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 8.9 | 8.6 | 77 | 3.5 | 12.2 | 40.6 | 29.6 | 73.2 | 3.23 | 49.4 | 44.9 |
| Dani Nuest | - | 21 | 20.2 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 80 | 3.6 | 21.4 | 38.3 | 31.6 | 50.0 | 2.71 | 46.1 | 45.7 |
| Maja Kozlowska | - | 19 | 12.7 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 3 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 46.9 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.94 | 49.7 | 46.9 |
| Kaitlyn Maxwell | - | 21 | 8.1 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 26 | 1.2 | 17.5 | 45.5 | 45.5 | 81.8 | 2.45 | 60.4 | 56.8 |
| Kloe Zentkowski | - | 21 | 16.8 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 4.7 | 75 | 3.4 | 20.0 | 32.4 | 20.0 | 77.8 | 3.73 | 44.5 | 35.1 |
| Isabella Hanna | - | 7 | 9.8 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 14 | 1.8 | 9.4 | 15.4 | 33.3 | 0 | 1.24 | 19.2 | 19.2 |
| Aubrey Johnson | - | 9 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 45 | 4.5 | 91.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 83.3 | 2.72 | 53.9 | 0.0 |
| Brittney Mislivecek | - | 11 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 38 | 3.5 | 62.5 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.36 | 34.7 | 25.0 |
| Brianna Anderson | - | 1 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0.5 | 10.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.08 | 0 | 0 |
| Kaisa Salani | - | 4 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 23 | 4.6 | 62.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG