Michigan State
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1635 (#1) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1401 (#2) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1316 (#1) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +24.4 (#3) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +27.3 (#1) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.933 (#4) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.986 (#1) | AdjNet +36.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.986 (#1) | AdjNet +36.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.888 (#3) | AdjO 77.5 | AdjD 54.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.875 (#1) | AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 56.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.949 (#1) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.948 (#1) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1429 (#1) | RD 82 | GP 39 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-22 | vs | Toledo | W | 78 - 33 |
| 1999-11-25 | N | Providence | W | 82 - 58 |
| 1999-11-26 | N | South Carolina | W | 59 - 56 |
| 1999-11-27 | N | Texas | L | 74 - 81 |
| 1999-12-01 | @ | North Carolina | W | 86 - 76 |
| 1999-12-03 | vs | Howard | W | 75 - 45 |
| 1999-12-04 | vs | Eastern Michigan | W | 74 - 57 |
| 1999-12-07 | N | Kansas | W | 66 - 54 |
| 1999-12-11 | @ | Arizona | L | 68 - 79 |
| 1999-12-18 | vs | Oakland | W | 86 - 51 |
| 1999-12-23 | @ | Kentucky | L | 58 - 60 |
| 1999-12-28 | vs | Mississippi Valley State | W | 96 - 63 |
| 1999-12-30 | @ | Wright State | L | 49 - 53 |
| 2000-01-05 | vs | Penn State | W | 76 - 63 |
| 2000-01-08 | @ | Iowa | W | 75 - 53 |
| 2000-01-11 | vs | Indiana | W | 77 - 71 |
| 2000-01-20 | @ | Ohio State | L | 67 - 78 |
| 2000-01-22 | vs | Northwestern | W | 69 - 45 |
| 2000-01-27 | @ | Northwestern | W | 59 - 29 |
| 2000-01-30 | vs | Illinois | W | 91 - 66 |
| 2000-02-01 | @ | Michigan | W | 82 - 62 |
| 2000-02-05 | vs | Connecticut | W | 85 - 66 |
| 2000-02-08 | @ | Purdue | L | 67 - 70 |
| 2000-02-12 | @ | Wisconsin | W | 61 - 44 |
| 2000-02-15 | vs | Ohio State | W | 83 - 72 |
| 2000-02-19 | vs | Wisconsin | W | 59 - 54 |
| 2000-02-23 | @ | Penn State | W | 79 - 63 |
| 2000-02-26 | @ | Indiana | L | 79 - 81 |
| 2000-03-02 | vs | Minnesota | W | 79 - 43 |
| 2000-03-04 | vs | Michigan | W | 114 - 63 |
| 2000-03-10 | N | Iowa | W | 75 - 65 |
| 2000-03-11 | N | Wisconsin | W | 55 - 46 |
| 2000-03-12 | N | Illinois | W | 76 - 61 |
| 2000-03-16 | N | Valparaiso | W | 65 - 38 |
| 2000-03-18 | N | Utah | W | 73 - 61 |
| 2000-03-23 | N | Syracuse | W | 75 - 58 |
| 2000-03-25 | N | Iowa State | W | 75 - 64 |
| 2000-04-01 | N | Wisconsin | W | 53 - 41 |
| 2000-04-03 | N | Florida | W | 89 - 76 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.