Miami-Hamilton - 2026

Model Outputs

2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	963 (#298)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	947 (#349)	-
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More →	979 (#403)	HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More →	-11.0 (#469)	HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.016 (#619)	-
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -16.4 More →	0.132 (#594)	AdjNet -16.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -16.0 More →	0.131 (#592)	AdjNet -16.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.4 \| AdjD 72.2 More →	0.311 (#548)	AdjO 63.4 \| AdjD 72.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.2 \| AdjD 74.6 More →	0.423 (#438)	AdjO 71.2 \| AdjD 74.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.306 (#464)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.317 (#460)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 288 \| GP 1 More →	905 (#354)	RD 288 \| GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2025-12-19	@	Thomas More	L	50 - 79

2026 Roster

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Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
Shaeden Olden	-	1	24.8	16.0	3.0	1.0	0.0	2.0	11.0	7.0	-	-	-	54.5	50.0	0	-	72.7	72.7
Carter Burg	-	1	14.9	7.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	3.0	3.0	-	-	-	66.7	50.0	50.0	-	73.5	83.3
Trevor Norris	-	1	25.1	7.0	2.0	1.0	0.0	1.0	9.0	0.0	-	-	-	33.3	25.0	0	-	38.9	38.9
Cory Davis	-	1	24.0	5.0	2.0	2.0	3.0	1.0	4.0	7.0	63	2.9	20.1	50.0	100.0	0	2.2	62.5	62.5
Allen Mallory	-	1	28.1	5.0	2.0	1.0	1.0	0.0	4.0	5.0	-	-	-	50.0	0	50.0	-	51.2	50.0
Mark Watson	-	1	22.8	4.0	0.0	3.0	1.0	1.0	3.0	4.0	-	-	-	66.7	0	0	-	66.7	66.7
Chauncey Brashers	-	1	28.2	2.0	1.0	1.0	1.0	0.0	7.0	-2.0	-	-	-	14.3	0.0	0	-	14.3	14.3
Bryson Curry	-	1	23.6	2.0	2.0	1.0	2.0	2.0	4.0	1.0	-	-	-	25.0	0.0	0	-	25.0	25.0
Hakeem Smith	-	1	3.5	2.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.0	1.0	-1.0	-	-	-	100.0	0	0	-	100.0	100.0
Ryder Thompson	-	1	5.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	-1.0	-	-	-	0.0	0	0	-	0.0	0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG