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Miami Heat

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Miami Heat
Program History

2017 Team Stats (82 games)

97.0
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
45.5%
FG%
36.3%
3P%
70.6%
FT%
40.8
RPG
19.9
APG
11.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
101.5
Adj PPG
100.8
Adj Opp PPG
#12
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1102 (#7) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 996 (#15) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +63 elo More → 1045 (#7) HCA +63 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → +0.8 (#12) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +3.5 (#6) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.530 (#10) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.6 More → 0.519 (#12) AdjNet +0.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.7 More → 0.519 (#12) AdjNet +0.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 101.5 | AdjD 100.8 More → 0.518 (#12) AdjO 101.5 | AdjD 100.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 104.2 | AdjD 101.2 More → 0.569 (#6) AdjO 104.2 | AdjD 101.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.566 (#8) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.576 (#7) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 251 | GP 82 More → 1045 (#10) RD 251 | GP 82

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-10-26 @ Orlando Magic W 108 - 96
2016-10-28 vs Charlotte Hornets L 91 - 97
2016-10-30 vs San Antonio Spurs L 99 - 106
2016-11-01 vs Sacramento Kings W 108 - 96
2016-11-04 @ Toronto Raptors L 87 - 96
2016-11-07 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 85 - 97
2016-11-10 vs Chicago Bulls L 95 - 98
2016-11-12 vs Utah Jazz L 91 - 102
2016-11-14 @ San Antonio Spurs L 90 - 94
2016-11-15 vs Atlanta Hawks L 90 - 93
2016-11-17 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 96 - 73
2016-11-19 @ Washington Wizards W 114 - 111
2016-11-21 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 94 - 101
2016-11-23 @ Detroit Pistons L 84 - 107
2016-11-25 @ Memphis Grizzlies W 90 - 81
2016-11-26 vs Memphis Grizzlies L 107 - 110
2016-11-28 vs Boston Celtics L 104 - 112
2016-11-30 @ Denver Nuggets W 106 - 98
2016-12-01 @ Utah Jazz W 111 - 110
2016-12-03 @ Portland Trail Blazers L 92 - 99
2016-12-06 vs New York Knicks L 103 - 114
2016-12-07 @ Atlanta Hawks L 95 - 103
2016-12-09 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 84 - 114
2016-12-10 @ Chicago Bulls L 100 - 105
2016-12-12 vs Washington Wizards W 112 - 101
2016-12-14 vs Indiana Pacers W 95 - 89
2016-12-16 vs LA Clippers L 98 - 102
2016-12-18 vs Boston Celtics L 95 - 105
2016-12-20 vs Orlando Magic L 130 - 136
2016-12-22 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 115 - 107
2016-12-23 @ New Orleans Pelicans L 87 - 91
2016-12-27 vs Oklahoma City Thunder L 94 - 106
2016-12-29 @ Charlotte Hornets L 82 - 91
2016-12-30 @ Boston Celtics L 114 - 117
2017-01-01 vs Detroit Pistons L 98 - 107
2017-01-03 @ Phoenix Suns L 90 - 99
2017-01-04 @ Sacramento Kings W 107 - 102
2017-01-06 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 100 - 127
2017-01-08 @ LA Clippers L 86 - 98
2017-01-10 @ Golden State Warriors L 95 - 107
2017-01-13 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 108 - 116
2017-01-17 vs Houston Rockets W 109 - 103
2017-01-19 vs Dallas Mavericks W 99 - 95
2017-01-21 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 109 - 97
2017-01-23 vs Golden State Warriors W 105 - 102
2017-01-25 @ Brooklyn Nets W 109 - 106
2017-01-27 @ Chicago Bulls W 100 - 88
2017-01-28 vs Detroit Pistons W 116 - 103
2017-01-30 vs Brooklyn Nets W 104 - 96
2017-02-01 vs Atlanta Hawks W 116 - 93
2017-02-04 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 125 - 102
2017-02-06 @ Minnesota Timberwolves W 115 - 113
2017-02-08 @ Milwaukee Bucks W 106 - 88
2017-02-10 @ Brooklyn Nets W 108 - 99
2017-02-11 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 109 - 117
2017-02-13 vs Orlando Magic L 107 - 116
2017-02-15 @ Houston Rockets W 117 - 109
2017-02-24 @ Atlanta Hawks W 108 - 90
2017-02-25 vs Indiana Pacers W 113 - 95
2017-02-27 @ Dallas Mavericks L 89 - 96
2017-03-01 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 125 - 98
2017-03-03 @ Orlando Magic L 99 - 110
2017-03-04 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 120 - 92
2017-03-06 @ Cleveland Cavaliers W 106 - 98
2017-03-08 vs Charlotte Hornets W 108 - 101
2017-03-11 vs Toronto Raptors W 104 - 89
2017-03-12 @ Indiana Pacers L 98 - 102
2017-03-15 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 120 - 112
2017-03-17 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 123 - 105
2017-03-19 vs Portland Trail Blazers L 104 - 115
2017-03-21 vs Phoenix Suns W 112 - 97
2017-03-23 vs Toronto Raptors L 84 - 101
2017-03-26 @ Boston Celtics L 108 - 112
2017-03-28 @ Detroit Pistons W 97 - 96
2017-03-29 @ New York Knicks W 105 - 88
2017-03-31 vs New York Knicks L 94 - 98
2017-04-02 vs Denver Nuggets L 113 - 116
2017-04-05 @ Charlotte Hornets W 112 - 99
2017-04-07 @ Toronto Raptors L 94 - 96
2017-04-08 @ Washington Wizards W 106 - 103
2017-04-10 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 124 - 121
2017-04-12 vs Washington Wizards W 110 - 102

2017 Roster

No roster data available for this season.

2016-2017 Shot Zones

5556 located field-goal attempts in 65 games (NBA Stats). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Whiteside25% Whiteside29% Dragic23% Dragic20% Dragic22% Ellington22% Johnson18% Ellington19% Dragic22% Ellington26%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Whiteside18% Whiteside28% Dragic16% Dragic20% Dragic25% McGruder21% Ellington20% Ellington23% Dragic21% Ellington22%
Misses: who misses most here

Goran DragicHassan WhitesideJames JohnsonWayne EllingtonRodney McGruder

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 1077-1707 63.1 2154 Hassan Whiteside 25% (544 pts) Goran Dragic 16% (338 pts) Hassan Whiteside 18% (111 misses) Goran Dragic 17% (105 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 405-956 42.4 810 Hassan Whiteside 29% (232 pts) Goran Dragic 24% (192 pts) Hassan Whiteside 28% (153 misses) Goran Dragic 19% (105 misses)
Mid-range left 197-538 36.6 394 Goran Dragic 23% (90 pts) Josh Richardson 12% (46 pts) Goran Dragic 16% (56 misses) Tyler Johnson 15% (51 misses)
Mid-range center 69-156 44.2 138 Goran Dragic 20% (28 pts) Hassan Whiteside 20% (28 pts) Goran Dragic 20% (17 misses) Hassan Whiteside 15% (13 misses)
Mid-range right 167-436 38.3 334 Goran Dragic 22% (74 pts) Tyler Johnson 16% (52 pts) Goran Dragic 25% (66 misses) Tyler Johnson 16% (43 misses)
Left corner 3 114-263 43.3 342 Wayne Ellington 22% (75 pts) Rodney McGruder 16% (54 pts) Rodney McGruder 21% (31 misses) Wayne Ellington 17% (26 misses)
Right corner 3 104-271 38.4 312 James Johnson 18% (57 pts) Rodney McGruder 17% (54 pts) Wayne Ellington 20% (33 misses) Rodney McGruder 19% (31 misses)
Above-break 3 left 180-522 34.5 540 Wayne Ellington 19% (105 pts) Josh Richardson 13% (72 pts) Wayne Ellington 23% (80 misses) Josh Richardson 15% (50 misses)
Above-break 3 center 80-228 35.1 240 Goran Dragic 22% (54 pts) Wayne Ellington 18% (42 pts) Goran Dragic 21% (31 misses) James Johnson 14% (20 misses)
Above-break 3 right 165-479 34.4 495 Wayne Ellington 26% (129 pts) Goran Dragic 21% (102 pts) Wayne Ellington 22% (69 misses) Goran Dragic 17% (53 misses)