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Miami Heat

Also known as: Miami Heat
Program History

2015 Team Stats (82 games)

89.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
45.8%
FG%
34.0%
3P%
73.9%
FT%
36.5
RPG
18.8
APG
13.2
TO
-
Est. poss./game
93.6
Adj PPG
96.5
Adj Opp PPG
#21
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 924 (#20) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 957 (#21) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +69 elo More โ†’ 978 (#18) HCA +69 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More โ†’ -2.9 (#21) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More โ†’ -2.7 (#21) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.423 (#21) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.1 More โ†’ 0.412 (#24) AdjNet -3.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.1 More โ†’ 0.411 (#24) AdjNet -3.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 93.6 | AdjD 96.5 More โ†’ 0.435 (#21) AdjO 93.6 | AdjD 96.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 95.4 | AdjD 97.6 More โ†’ 0.451 (#20) AdjO 95.4 | AdjD 97.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.424 (#22) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.427 (#22) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 255 | GP 82 More โ†’ 961 (#21) RD 255 | GP 82

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-10-29 vs Washington Wizards W 107 - 95
2014-11-01 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 114 - 96
2014-11-02 vs Toronto Raptors W 107 - 102
2014-11-04 vs Houston Rockets L 91 - 108
2014-11-05 @ Charlotte Hornets L 89 - 96
2014-11-08 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 102 - 92
2014-11-09 @ Dallas Mavericks W 105 - 96
2014-11-12 vs Indiana Pacers L 75 - 81
2014-11-14 @ Atlanta Hawks L 103 - 114
2014-11-16 vs Milwaukee Bucks L 84 - 91
2014-11-17 @ Brooklyn Nets W 95 - 83
2014-11-20 vs LA Clippers L 93 - 110
2014-11-22 @ Orlando Magic W 99 - 92
2014-11-23 vs Charlotte Hornets W 94 - 93
2014-11-25 vs Golden State Warriors L 97 - 114
2014-11-30 @ New York Knicks W 86 - 79
2014-12-01 @ Washington Wizards L 86 - 107
2014-12-03 vs Atlanta Hawks L 102 - 112
2014-12-05 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 85 - 109
2014-12-07 @ Memphis Grizzlies L 87 - 103
2014-12-09 @ Phoenix Suns W 103 - 97
2014-12-10 @ Denver Nuggets L 82 - 102
2014-12-12 @ Utah Jazz W 100 - 95
2014-12-14 vs Chicago Bulls L 75 - 93
2014-12-16 @ Brooklyn Nets W 95 - 91
2014-12-17 vs Utah Jazz L 87 - 105
2014-12-19 vs Washington Wizards L 103 - 105
2014-12-21 vs Boston Celtics W 100 - 84
2014-12-23 vs Philadelphia 76ers L 87 - 91
2014-12-25 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 101 - 91
2014-12-27 vs Memphis Grizzlies L 95 - 103
2014-12-29 vs Orlando Magic L 101 - 102
2014-12-31 @ Indiana Pacers L 95 - 106
2015-01-03 @ Houston Rockets L 79 - 115
2015-01-04 vs Brooklyn Nets W 88 - 84
2015-01-08 @ Portland Trail Blazers L 83 - 99
2015-01-11 @ LA Clippers W 104 - 90
2015-01-13 @ Los Angeles Lakers W 78 - 75
2015-01-14 @ Golden State Warriors L 89 - 104
2015-01-16 @ Sacramento Kings W 95 - 83
2015-01-20 vs Oklahoma City Thunder L 86 - 94
2015-01-21 @ Charlotte Hornets L 76 - 78
2015-01-23 vs Indiana Pacers W 89 - 87
2015-01-25 @ Chicago Bulls W 96 - 84
2015-01-27 vs Milwaukee Bucks L 102 - 109
2015-01-30 vs Dallas Mavericks L 72 - 93
2015-02-01 @ Boston Celtics W 83 - 75
2015-02-03 @ Detroit Pistons L 91 - 108
2015-02-04 @ Minnesota Timberwolves L 101 - 102
2015-02-06 @ San Antonio Spurs L 85 - 98
2015-02-09 vs New York Knicks W 109 - 95
2015-02-11 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 93 - 113
2015-02-20 @ New York Knicks W 111 - 87
2015-02-21 vs New Orleans Pelicans L 91 - 105
2015-02-23 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 119 - 108
2015-02-25 @ Orlando Magic W 93 - 90
2015-02-27 @ New Orleans Pelicans L 102 - 104
2015-02-28 vs Atlanta Hawks L 91 - 93
2015-03-02 vs Phoenix Suns W 115 - 98
2015-03-04 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 100 - 94
2015-03-06 @ Washington Wizards L 97 - 99
2015-03-07 vs Sacramento Kings W 114 - 109
2015-03-09 vs Boston Celtics L 90 - 100
2015-03-11 vs Brooklyn Nets W 104 - 98
2015-03-13 @ Toronto Raptors L 92 - 102
2015-03-16 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 106 - 92
2015-03-18 vs Portland Trail Blazers W 108 - 104
2015-03-20 vs Denver Nuggets W 108 - 91
2015-03-22 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 75 - 93
2015-03-24 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 88 - 89
2015-03-25 @ Boston Celtics W 93 - 86
2015-03-27 @ Atlanta Hawks L 86 - 99
2015-03-29 vs Detroit Pistons W 109 - 102
2015-03-31 vs San Antonio Spurs L 81 - 95
2015-04-02 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 88 - 114
2015-04-04 @ Detroit Pistons L 98 - 99
2015-04-05 @ Indiana Pacers L 89 - 112
2015-04-07 vs Charlotte Hornets W 105 - 100
2015-04-09 vs Chicago Bulls L 78 - 89
2015-04-11 vs Toronto Raptors L 104 - 107
2015-04-13 vs Orlando Magic W 100 - 93
2015-04-15 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 105 - 101

2015 Roster

No roster data available for this season.