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Miami Heat

Also known as: Miami Heat
Program History

2013 Team Stats (102 games)

90.1
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
49.0%
FG%
39.4%
3P%
75.8%
FT%
34.4
RPG
20.0
APG
11.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
100.6
Adj PPG
93.2
Adj Opp PPG
#3
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1346 (#1) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1239 (#1) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +86 elo More โ†’ 1176 (#1) HCA +86 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ +7.4 (#3) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +8.1 (#2) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.709 (#2) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.7 More โ†’ 0.709 (#2) AdjNet +7.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.7 More โ†’ 0.709 (#2) AdjNet +7.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 100.6 | AdjD 93.2 More โ†’ 0.661 (#3) AdjO 100.6 | AdjD 93.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 99.1 | AdjD 91.7 More โ†’ 0.662 (#2) AdjO 99.1 | AdjD 91.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.753 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.753 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 65 | GP 105 More โ†’ 1219 (#1) RD 65 | GP 105

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-10-30 vs Boston Celtics W 120 - 107
2012-11-02 @ New York Knicks L 84 - 104
2012-11-03 vs Denver Nuggets W 119 - 116
2012-11-05 vs Phoenix Suns W 124 - 99
2012-11-07 vs Brooklyn Nets W 103 - 73
2012-11-09 @ Atlanta Hawks W 95 - 89
2012-11-11 @ Memphis Grizzlies L 86 - 104
2012-11-12 @ Houston Rockets W 113 - 110
2012-11-14 @ LA Clippers L 100 - 107
2012-11-15 @ Denver Nuggets W 98 - 93
2012-11-17 @ Phoenix Suns W 97 - 88
2012-11-21 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 113 - 106
2012-11-24 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 110 - 108
2012-11-29 vs San Antonio Spurs W 105 - 100
2012-12-01 vs Brooklyn Nets W 102 - 89
2012-12-04 @ Washington Wizards L 101 - 105
2012-12-06 vs New York Knicks L 92 - 112
2012-12-08 vs New Orleans Hornets W 106 - 90
2012-12-10 vs Atlanta Hawks W 101 - 92
2012-12-12 vs Golden State Warriors L 95 - 97
2012-12-15 vs Washington Wizards W 102 - 72
2012-12-18 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 103 - 92
2012-12-20 @ Dallas Mavericks W 110 - 95
2012-12-22 vs Utah Jazz W 105 - 89
2012-12-25 vs Oklahoma City Thunder W 103 - 97
2012-12-26 @ Charlotte Bobcats W 105 - 92
2012-12-28 @ Detroit Pistons L 99 - 109
2012-12-29 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 85 - 104
2012-12-31 @ Orlando Magic W 112 - 110
2013-01-02 vs Dallas Mavericks W 119 - 109
2013-01-04 vs Chicago Bulls L 89 - 96
2013-01-06 vs Washington Wizards W 99 - 71
2013-01-08 @ Indiana Pacers L 77 - 87
2013-01-10 @ Portland Trail Blazers L 90 - 92
2013-01-12 @ Sacramento Kings W 128 - 99
2013-01-14 @ Utah Jazz L 97 - 104
2013-01-16 @ Golden State Warriors W 92 - 75
2013-01-17 @ Los Angeles Lakers W 99 - 90
2013-01-23 vs Toronto Raptors W 123 - 116
2013-01-25 vs Detroit Pistons W 110 - 88
2013-01-27 @ Boston Celtics L 98 - 100
2013-01-30 @ Brooklyn Nets W 105 - 85
2013-02-01 @ Indiana Pacers L 89 - 102
2013-02-03 @ Toronto Raptors W 100 - 85
2013-02-04 vs Charlotte Bobcats W 99 - 94
2013-02-06 vs Houston Rockets W 114 - 108
2013-02-08 vs LA Clippers W 111 - 89
2013-02-10 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 107 - 97
2013-02-12 vs Portland Trail Blazers W 117 - 104
2013-02-14 @ Oklahoma City Thunder W 110 - 100
2013-02-20 @ Atlanta Hawks W 103 - 90
2013-02-21 @ Chicago Bulls W 86 - 67
2013-02-23 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 114 - 90
2013-02-24 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 109 - 105
2013-02-26 vs Sacramento Kings W 141 - 129
2013-03-01 vs Memphis Grizzlies W 98 - 91
2013-03-03 @ New York Knicks W 99 - 93
2013-03-04 @ Minnesota Timberwolves W 97 - 81
2013-03-06 vs Orlando Magic W 97 - 96
2013-03-08 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 102 - 93
2013-03-10 vs Indiana Pacers W 105 - 91
2013-03-12 vs Atlanta Hawks W 98 - 81
2013-03-13 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 98 - 94
2013-03-15 @ Milwaukee Bucks W 107 - 94
2013-03-17 @ Toronto Raptors W 108 - 91
2013-03-18 @ Boston Celtics W 105 - 103
2013-03-20 @ Cleveland Cavaliers W 98 - 95
2013-03-22 vs Detroit Pistons W 103 - 89
2013-03-24 vs Charlotte Bobcats W 109 - 77
2013-03-25 @ Orlando Magic W 108 - 94
2013-03-27 @ Chicago Bulls L 97 - 101
2013-03-29 @ New Orleans Hornets W 108 - 89
2013-03-31 @ San Antonio Spurs W 88 - 86
2013-04-02 vs New York Knicks L 90 - 102
2013-04-05 @ Charlotte Bobcats W 89 - 79
2013-04-06 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 106 - 87
2013-04-09 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 94 - 83
2013-04-10 @ Washington Wizards W 103 - 98
2013-04-12 vs Boston Celtics W 109 - 101
2013-04-14 vs Chicago Bulls W 105 - 93
2013-04-15 @ Cleveland Cavaliers W 96 - 95
2013-04-17 vs Orlando Magic W 105 - 93
2013-04-21 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 110 - 87
2013-04-23 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 98 - 86
2013-04-25 @ Milwaukee Bucks W 104 - 91
2013-04-28 @ Milwaukee Bucks W 88 - 77
2013-05-06 vs Chicago Bulls L 86 - 93
2013-05-08 vs Chicago Bulls W 115 - 78
2013-05-10 @ Chicago Bulls W 104 - 94
2013-05-13 @ Chicago Bulls W 88 - 65
2013-05-15 vs Chicago Bulls W 94 - 91
2013-05-22 vs Indiana Pacers W 103 - 102
2013-05-24 vs Indiana Pacers L 93 - 97
2013-05-26 @ Indiana Pacers W 114 - 96
2013-05-28 @ Indiana Pacers L 92 - 99
2013-05-30 vs Indiana Pacers W 90 - 79
2013-06-01 @ Indiana Pacers L 77 - 91
2013-06-03 vs Indiana Pacers W 99 - 76
2013-06-06 vs San Antonio Spurs L 88 - 92
2013-06-09 vs San Antonio Spurs W 103 - 84
2013-06-11 @ San Antonio Spurs L 77 - 113
2013-06-13 @ San Antonio Spurs W 109 - 93
2013-06-16 @ San Antonio Spurs L 104 - 114
2013-06-18 vs San Antonio Spurs W 103 - 100
2013-06-20 vs San Antonio Spurs W 95 - 88

2013 Roster

No roster data available for this season.