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Miami Heat

Also known as: Miami Heat
Program History

2012 Team Stats (85 games)

98.0
PPG
91.8
Opp
+6.1
Margin
46.8%
FG%
35.4%
3P%
76.4%
FT%
41.2
RPG
19.4
APG
14.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
97.7
Adj PPG
90.9
Adj Opp PPG
#4
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1350 (#1) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1172 (#3) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More โ†’ 1158 (#1) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +6.9 (#4) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +8.8 (#2) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.681 (#3) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.1 More โ†’ 0.694 (#3) AdjNet +7.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.1 More โ†’ 0.694 (#3) AdjNet +7.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 97.7 | AdjD 90.9 More โ†’ 0.650 (#4) AdjO 97.7 | AdjD 90.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 97.6 | AdjD 89.6 More โ†’ 0.674 (#2) AdjO 97.6 | AdjD 89.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.747 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.751 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 60 | GP 89 More โ†’ 1177 (#2) RD 60 | GP 89

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-12-25 @ Dallas Mavericks W 105 - 94
2011-12-27 vs Boston Celtics W 115 - 107
2011-12-28 @ Charlotte Bobcats W 96 - 95
2011-12-30 @ Minnesota Timberwolves W 103 - 101
2012-01-01 vs Charlotte Bobcats W 129 - 90
2012-01-02 vs Atlanta Hawks L 92 - 100
2012-01-04 vs Indiana Pacers W 118 - 83
2012-01-05 @ Atlanta Hawks W 116 - 109
2012-01-07 @ New Jersey Nets W 101 - 90
2012-01-10 @ Golden State Warriors L 106 - 111
2012-01-11 @ LA Clippers L 89 - 95
2012-01-13 @ Denver Nuggets L 104 - 117
2012-01-17 vs San Antonio Spurs W 120 - 98
2012-01-19 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 98 - 87
2012-01-21 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 113 - 92
2012-01-22 vs Milwaukee Bucks L 82 - 91
2012-01-24 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 92 - 85
2012-01-25 @ Detroit Pistons W 101 - 98
2012-01-27 vs New York Knicks W 99 - 89
2012-01-29 vs Chicago Bulls W 97 - 93
2012-01-30 vs New Orleans Hornets W 109 - 95
2012-02-01 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 97 - 105
2012-02-03 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 99 - 79
2012-02-05 vs Toronto Raptors W 95 - 89
2012-02-07 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 107 - 91
2012-02-08 @ Orlando Magic L 89 - 102
2012-02-10 @ Washington Wizards W 106 - 89
2012-02-12 @ Atlanta Hawks W 107 - 87
2012-02-13 @ Milwaukee Bucks W 114 - 96
2012-02-14 @ Indiana Pacers W 105 - 90
2012-02-17 @ Cleveland Cavaliers W 111 - 87
2012-02-19 vs Orlando Magic W 90 - 78
2012-02-21 vs Sacramento Kings W 120 - 108
2012-02-23 vs New York Knicks W 102 - 88
2012-03-01 @ Portland Trail Blazers W 107 - 93
2012-03-02 @ Utah Jazz L 98 - 99
2012-03-04 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 83 - 93
2012-03-06 vs New Jersey Nets W 108 - 78
2012-03-07 vs Atlanta Hawks W 89 - 86
2012-03-10 vs Indiana Pacers W 93 - 91
2012-03-13 @ Orlando Magic L 98 - 104
2012-03-14 @ Chicago Bulls L 102 - 106
2012-03-16 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 84 - 78
2012-03-18 vs Orlando Magic W 91 - 81
2012-03-20 vs Phoenix Suns W 99 - 95
2012-03-23 @ Detroit Pistons W 88 - 73
2012-03-25 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 87 - 103
2012-03-26 @ Indiana Pacers L 90 - 105
2012-03-29 vs Dallas Mavericks W 106 - 85
2012-03-30 @ Toronto Raptors W 113 - 101
2012-04-01 @ Boston Celtics L 72 - 91
2012-04-03 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 99 - 93
2012-04-04 vs Oklahoma City Thunder W 98 - 93
2012-04-06 vs Memphis Grizzlies L 82 - 97
2012-04-08 vs Detroit Pistons W 98 - 75
2012-04-10 vs Boston Celtics L 107 - 115
2012-04-12 @ Chicago Bulls L 86 - 96
2012-04-13 vs Charlotte Bobcats W 105 - 82
2012-04-15 @ New York Knicks W 93 - 85
2012-04-16 @ New Jersey Nets W 101 - 98
2012-04-18 vs Toronto Raptors W 96 - 72
2012-04-19 vs Chicago Bulls W 83 - 72
2012-04-21 vs Washington Wizards L 84 - 86
2012-04-22 vs Houston Rockets W 97 - 88
2012-04-24 @ Boston Celtics L 66 - 78
2012-04-26 @ Washington Wizards L 70 - 104
2012-04-28 vs New York Knicks W 100 - 67
2012-04-30 vs New York Knicks W 104 - 94
2012-05-03 @ New York Knicks W 87 - 70
2012-05-06 @ New York Knicks L 87 - 89
2012-05-09 vs New York Knicks W 106 - 94
2012-05-13 vs Indiana Pacers W 95 - 86
2012-05-15 vs Indiana Pacers L 75 - 78
2012-05-17 @ Indiana Pacers L 75 - 94
2012-05-20 @ Indiana Pacers W 101 - 93
2012-05-22 vs Indiana Pacers W 115 - 83
2012-05-24 @ Indiana Pacers W 105 - 93
2012-05-28 vs Boston Celtics W 93 - 79
2012-05-30 vs Boston Celtics W 115 - 111
2012-06-01 @ Boston Celtics L 91 - 101
2012-06-03 @ Boston Celtics L 91 - 93
2012-06-05 vs Boston Celtics L 90 - 94
2012-06-07 @ Boston Celtics W 98 - 79
2012-06-09 vs Boston Celtics W 101 - 88
2012-06-12 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 94 - 105
2012-06-14 @ Oklahoma City Thunder W 100 - 96
2012-06-17 vs Oklahoma City Thunder W 91 - 85
2012-06-19 vs Oklahoma City Thunder W 104 - 98
2012-06-21 vs Oklahoma City Thunder W 121 - 106

2012 Roster

No roster data available for this season.