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Miami Heat

Also known as: Miami Heat
Program History

2010 Team Stats (87 games)

96.0
PPG
94.3
Opp
+1.7
Margin
45.7%
FG%
34.8%
3P%
75.1%
FT%
41.6
RPG
18.8
APG
13.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
95.0
Adj PPG
93.3
Adj Opp PPG
#13
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2009-2010
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1041 (#14) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1042 (#13) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +74 elo More โ†’ 1044 (#8) HCA +74 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +1.7 (#13) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +2.1 (#12) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.551 (#13) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.8 More โ†’ 0.552 (#13) AdjNet +1.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.8 More โ†’ 0.552 (#13) AdjNet +1.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 95.0 | AdjD 93.3 More โ†’ 0.538 (#13) AdjO 95.0 | AdjD 93.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 95.7 | AdjD 93.9 More โ†’ 0.542 (#11) AdjO 95.7 | AdjD 93.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.555 (#14) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.556 (#13) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 213 | GP 87 More โ†’ 1034 (#14) RD 213 | GP 87

2010 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2009-10-28 vs New York Knicks W 115 - 93
2009-10-30 @ Indiana Pacers W 96 - 83
2009-11-01 vs Chicago Bulls W 95 - 87
2009-11-03 vs Phoenix Suns L 96 - 104
2009-11-04 @ Washington Wizards W 93 - 89
2009-11-06 vs Denver Nuggets W 96 - 88
2009-11-10 vs Washington Wizards W 90 - 76
2009-11-12 vs Cleveland Cavaliers L 104 - 111
2009-11-14 vs New Jersey Nets W 81 - 80
2009-11-17 vs Oklahoma City Thunder L 87 - 100
2009-11-18 @ Atlanta Hawks L 90 - 105
2009-11-20 @ Toronto Raptors L 113 - 120
2009-11-22 vs New Orleans Hornets W 102 - 101
2009-11-25 @ Orlando Magic W 99 - 98
2009-11-27 vs Washington Wizards L 84 - 94
2009-11-29 vs Boston Celtics L 85 - 92
2009-12-01 @ Portland Trail Blazers W 107 - 100
2009-12-03 @ Denver Nuggets L 96 - 114
2009-12-04 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 107 - 108
2009-12-06 @ Sacramento Kings W 115 - 102
2009-12-11 vs Dallas Mavericks L 93 - 106
2009-12-13 vs Memphis Grizzlies L 90 - 118
2009-12-15 vs Toronto Raptors W 115 - 95
2009-12-17 vs Orlando Magic W 104 - 86
2009-12-20 vs Portland Trail Blazers L 95 - 102
2009-12-23 vs Utah Jazz W 80 - 70
2009-12-25 @ New York Knicks W 93 - 87
2009-12-27 vs Indiana Pacers W 114 - 80
2009-12-30 @ New Orleans Hornets L 91 - 95
2009-12-31 @ San Antonio Spurs L 78 - 108
2010-01-02 vs Charlotte Bobcats L 97 - 107
2010-01-04 vs Atlanta Hawks W 92 - 75
2010-01-06 vs Boston Celtics L 106 - 112
2010-01-08 @ Phoenix Suns W 109 - 105
2010-01-10 @ LA Clippers L 84 - 94
2010-01-11 @ Utah Jazz L 89 - 118
2010-01-13 @ Golden State Warriors W 115 - 102
2010-01-15 @ Houston Rockets W 115 - 106
2010-01-16 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 80 - 98
2010-01-19 vs Indiana Pacers W 113 - 83
2010-01-20 @ Charlotte Bobcats L 65 - 104
2010-01-22 @ Washington Wizards W 112 - 88
2010-01-23 vs Sacramento Kings W 115 - 84
2010-01-25 vs Cleveland Cavaliers L 91 - 92
2010-01-27 @ Toronto Raptors L 103 - 111
2010-01-29 @ Detroit Pistons W 92 - 65
2010-01-30 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 84 - 95
2010-02-01 vs Milwaukee Bucks L 81 - 97
2010-02-03 @ Boston Celtics L 102 - 107
2010-02-04 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 86 - 102
2010-02-06 @ Chicago Bulls L 91 - 95
2010-02-09 vs Houston Rockets W 99 - 66
2010-02-10 @ Atlanta Hawks W 94 - 76
2010-02-16 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 105 - 78
2010-02-17 @ New Jersey Nets W 87 - 84
2010-02-19 @ Memphis Grizzlies W 100 - 87
2010-02-20 @ Dallas Mavericks L 91 - 97
2010-02-23 vs Minnesota Timberwolves L 88 - 91
2010-02-27 vs Milwaukee Bucks L 71 - 94
2010-02-28 @ Orlando Magic L 80 - 96
2010-03-02 vs Golden State Warriors W 110 - 106
2010-03-04 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 114 - 111
2010-03-06 vs Atlanta Hawks W 100 - 94
2010-03-09 @ Charlotte Bobcats L 78 - 83
2010-03-10 vs LA Clippers W 108 - 97
2010-03-12 vs Chicago Bulls W 108 - 95
2010-03-14 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 104 - 91
2010-03-16 vs San Antonio Spurs L 76 - 88
2010-03-18 vs Orlando Magic L 102 - 108
2010-03-20 vs Charlotte Bobcats W 77 - 71
2010-03-22 @ New Jersey Nets W 99 - 89
2010-03-25 @ Chicago Bulls W 103 - 74
2010-03-26 @ Milwaukee Bucks W 87 - 74
2010-03-28 vs Toronto Raptors W 97 - 94
2010-03-31 @ Detroit Pistons W 98 - 81
2010-04-02 @ Indiana Pacers W 105 - 96
2010-04-03 @ Minnesota Timberwolves W 97 - 84
2010-04-07 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 99 - 95
2010-04-09 vs Detroit Pistons L 99 - 106
2010-04-11 @ New York Knicks W 111 - 98
2010-04-12 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 107 - 105
2010-04-14 vs New Jersey Nets W 94 - 86
2010-04-17 @ Boston Celtics L 76 - 85
2010-04-20 @ Boston Celtics L 77 - 106
2010-04-23 vs Boston Celtics L 98 - 100
2010-04-25 vs Boston Celtics W 101 - 92
2010-04-27 @ Boston Celtics L 86 - 96

2010 Roster

No roster data available for this season.