Miami Heat
2027 Team Stats (5 games)
113.0
PPG
120.8
Opp
-7.8
Margin
45.3%
FG%
31.7%
3P%
71.7%
FT%
42.8
RPG
27.0
APG
14.2
TO
106.4
Est. poss./game
111.9
Adj PPG
120.5
Adj Opp PPG
#26
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 874 (#30) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 847 (#29) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 851 (#29) | HCA +2 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -12.9 (#25) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -12.7 (#25) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.219 (#27) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.219 (#27) | NetEff -12.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.322 (#25) | AdjNet -6.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.321 (#25) | AdjNet -6.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.313 (#26) | AdjO 111.9 | AdjD 120.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.317 (#26) | AdjO 111.9 | AdjD 120.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.289 (#27) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.289 (#28) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 736 (#29) | RD 167 | GP 4 |
2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | vs | Minnesota Timberwolves | L | 106 - 131 |
| 2026-10-23 | vs | Detroit Pistons | L | 111 - 128 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ | Charlotte Hornets | L | 110 - 115 |
| 2026-10-26 | vs | Dallas Mavericks | L | 109 - 113 |
| 2026-10-28 | @ | Atlanta Hawks | W | 129 - 117 |
2027 Roster
No roster data available for this season.
2026-2027 Shot Zones
457 located field-goal attempts in 5 games (NBA Stats). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Giannis AntetokounmpoDavion MitchellBam AdebayoAndrew WigginsBobby Portis Jr.Klay ThompsonTim Hardaway Jr.
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 87-135 | 64.4 | 174 | Giannis Antetokounmpo 40% (70 pts) | Davion Mitchell 17% (30 pts) | Giannis Antetokounmpo 38% (18 misses) | Bam Adebayo 17% (8 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 44-83 | 53.0 | 88 | Giannis Antetokounmpo 30% (26 pts) | Bam Adebayo 25% (22 pts) | Davion Mitchell 21% (8 misses) | Andrew Wiggins 18% (7 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 6-20 | 30.0 | 12 | Andrew Wiggins 33% (4 pts) | Davion Mitchell 33% (4 pts) | Bobby Portis Jr. 36% (5 misses) | Giannis Antetokounmpo 29% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 4-13 | 30.8 | 8 | Giannis Antetokounmpo 50% (4 pts) | Andrew Wiggins 25% (2 pts) | Bam Adebayo 44% (4 misses) | Giannis Antetokounmpo 44% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 6-17 | 35.3 | 12 | Bobby Portis Jr. 50% (6 pts) | Andrew Wiggins 17% (2 pts) | Tim Hardaway Jr. 27% (3 misses) | Nikola Joviฤ 18% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 8-24 | 33.3 | 24 | Bobby Portis Jr. 38% (9 pts) | Davion Mitchell 12% (3 pts) | Bam Adebayo 19% (3 misses) | Bobby Portis Jr. 19% (3 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 8-31 | 25.8 | 24 | Andrew Wiggins 25% (6 pts) | Bobby Portis Jr. 25% (6 pts) | Klay Thompson 26% (6 misses) | Andrew Wiggins 17% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 23-61 | 37.7 | 69 | Klay Thompson 26% (18 pts) | Andrew Wiggins 17% (12 pts) | Klay Thompson 21% (8 misses) | Tim Hardaway Jr. 16% (6 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 11-29 | 37.9 | 33 | Davion Mitchell 27% (9 pts) | Klay Thompson 27% (9 pts) | Giannis Antetokounmpo 28% (5 misses) | Bobby Portis Jr. 17% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 10-44 | 22.7 | 30 | Bam Adebayo 20% (6 pts) | Davion Mitchell 20% (6 pts) | Klay Thompson 21% (7 misses) | Andrew Wiggins 18% (6 misses) |