🐻⬇️🏀

Methodist

Season:
Also known as: Methodist Monarchs
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 997 (#388) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 954 (#428) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 948 (#607) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -11.2 (#271) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -12.5 (#572) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.261 (#626) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -20.9 More → 0.082 (#661) AdjNet -20.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -21.0 More → 0.080 (#661) AdjNet -21.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 78.6 More → 0.198 (#660) AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 78.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 76.0 More → 0.364 (#616) AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 76.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.248 (#627) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.266 (#621) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 20 More → 862 (#510) RD 100 | GP 20

2026 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.