Messiah
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1112 (#59) | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 1203 (#49) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency | 1183 (#35) | - |
| Margin | +11.3 (#84) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency | +2.2 (#334) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean | 0.921 (#221) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.926 (#192) | AdjO 110.9 | AdjD 89.1 |
| Log Adjusted | 0.924 (#196) | AdjO 107.9 | AdjD 86.8 |
| Points Off/Def | 0.738 (#213) | AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 53.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency | 0.622 (#208) | AdjO 58.5 | AdjD 53.0 |
| Core Ensemble | 0.759 (#160) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def |
| Recency Ensemble | 0.747 (#167) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def_recency |
| KenPom Kitchen Sink | 0.855 (#178) | - |
| Dynamic BT | 1240 (#48) | HCA +45.0 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Marywood | W | 81 - 48 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Nazareth | W | 87 - 81 |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Dickinson | L | 57 - 78 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Penn St. Harrisburg | W | 63 - 33 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Elizabethtown | L | 77 - 80 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Gettysburg | W | 83 - 77 |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Juniata | W | 70 - 38 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Mary Washington | W | 44 - 37 |
| 2025-12-28 | @ | Wis. Lutheran | W | 55 - 54 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Bethel (MN) | L | 64 - 71 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Widener | W | 75 - 69 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Albright | L | 47 - 58 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | York (PA) | W | 50 - 49 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Eastern | W | 78 - 40 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Alvernia | W | 57 - 42 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Hood | W | 57 - 31 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | York (PA) | W | 53 - 46 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Albright | W | 59 - 56 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Widener | W | 62 - 52 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.