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Merrimack

Season: 2026 2023 2020
Also known as: Merrimack
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1064 (#213) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1015 (#333) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +35.1 (#57) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#84) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +58.3 More → 1.000 (#57) NetEff +58.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +41.1 More → 0.991 (#106) AdjNet +41.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +40.5 More → 0.993 (#110) AdjNet +40.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 87.7 | AdjD 56.5 More → 0.944 (#91) AdjO 87.7 | AdjD 56.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 58.2 More → 0.685 (#139) AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 58.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.933 (#41) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.902 (#55) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1088 (#182) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 vs UMass Boston W 97 - 46

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lydia Melashenko - 1 16.8 18.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 15.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 80.0 - 73.8 70.0
Oralye Kiefer - 1 16.9 12.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 8.0 12.0 - - - 62.5 50.0 100.0 - 71.1 68.8
Paloma Garcia - 1 18.6 12.0 4.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 9.0 - - - 45.5 33.3 100.0 - 52.4 50.0
Joi Williams - 1 21.6 11.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 8.0 7.0 4 1.0 32.3 50.0 33.3 25.0 2.53 56.4 62.5
Molly Manion - 1 16.7 10.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 11.0 - - - 80.0 100.0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Madison Roman - 1 17.3 9.0 10.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 20.0 - - - 50.0 0 83.3 - 67.8 50.0
Se'Lah Reddick - 1 19.9 6.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 8.0 - - - 66.7 0 33.3 - 53.2 66.7
Mia Fiore - 1 17.3 6.0 7.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 4.0 5.0 9.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 66.7 - 47.5 40.0
Kylee Fears - 1 9.8 4.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Makayla Thomas - 1 11.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 66.7 0.0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Denae Skelton - 1 10.2 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 33.3 33.3 0 - 50.0 50.0
Claudia Gallegos - 1 7.5 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Daria Shishkina - 1 8.5 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Kristen Kelly - 1 8.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG