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Merrimack

Season: 2026 2023 2020
Also known as: Merrimack
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2023 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1064 (#213) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1015 (#333) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +35.1 (#57) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#84) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +58.3 More → 1.000 (#57) NetEff +58.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +41.1 More → 0.991 (#106) AdjNet +41.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +40.5 More → 0.993 (#110) AdjNet +40.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 87.7 | AdjD 56.5 More → 0.944 (#91) AdjO 87.7 | AdjD 56.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 58.2 More → 0.685 (#139) AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 58.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.933 (#41) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.902 (#55) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1088 (#182) RD 350 | GP 1

2023 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2023-01-21 vs Hartford W 79 - 66
2023-02-16 @ Hartford W 58 - 51

2023 Roster

No roster data available for this season.