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Mercyhurst

Season: 2026 2025 2024
Also known as: Mercyhurst
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1016 (#339) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1039 (#295) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1007 (#391) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +11.7 (#209) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.998 (#103) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +30.4 More → 0.971 (#108) AdjNet +30.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +30.5 More → 0.976 (#103) AdjNet +30.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 54.1 More → 0.841 (#155) AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 54.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 70.3 More → 0.575 (#251) AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 70.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.734 (#167) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.709 (#189) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 327 | GP 1 More → 1077 (#248) RD 327 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-07 vs Bethany (WV) W 80 - 51

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Bernie Blunt - 1 22.4 23.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 15.0 15.0 - - - 60.0 57.1 100.0 - 74.5 73.3
Jake Lemelman - 1 19.9 12.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 5.0 - - - 35.7 66.7 0 - 42.9 42.9
Mykolaus Ivanauskas - 1 15.6 9.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 11.0 - - - 80.0 100.0 0 - 90.0 90.0
Cameron Johnson - 1 18.6 8.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 8.0 20 2.2 51.7 66.7 0.0 0 -0.42 66.7 66.7
Christian Gamble - 1 29.3 6.0 1.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 9.0 - - - 75.0 0.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Deshaun Jackson Jr. - 1 22.9 6.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 6.0 10.0 78 4.6 27.3 50.0 0.0 0 2.91 50.0 50.0
Qadir Martin - 1 24.6 6.0 5.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 7.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
James Thomas - 1 10.7 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 39 1.9 6.8 75.0 0 0.0 1.15 61.5 75.0
Or Faran Frenkel - 1 7.9 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Christopher Leman - 1 5.9 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 - - - 33.3 0 0.0 - 25.8 33.3
Brady Conner - 1 5.2 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Sean Lang - 1 12.6 0.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Vladimir Pavlovic - 1 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG