Mercy
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 671 (#295) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 699 (#295) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 772 (#599) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -11.6 (#290) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -14.2 (#495) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.129 (#290) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.969 (#136) | NetEff +30.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.104 (#294) | AdjNet -18.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.102 (#294) | AdjNet -18.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.199 (#295) | AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 88.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.247 (#566) | AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 80.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.169 (#547) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.169 (#560) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 617 (#515) | RD 114 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Holy Family | L | 85 - 96 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Jefferson | L | 58 - 89 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Felician | L | 55 - 82 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Chestnut Hill | L | 66 - 80 |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | Bryant | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | East Stroudsburg | L | 92 - 98 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Staten Island | L | 79 - 90 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Dist. Columbia | W | 91 - 86 |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | Adelphi | L | 55 - 77 |
| 2025-12-12 | vs | Daemen | L | 65 - 83 |
| 2025-12-14 | vs | D'Youville | W | 103 - 98 |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | Goldey-Beacom | L | 74 - 96 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Franklin Pierce | L | 75 - 92 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Southern Conn. St. | L | 76 - 79 |
| 2026-01-11 | @ | Roberts Wesleyan | L | 64 - 84 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Dist. Columbia | L | 61 - 63 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Staten Island | L | 98 - 103 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Queens (NY) | L | 61 - 69 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Molloy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | St. Thomas Aquinas | L | 65 - 84 |
| 2026-02-08 | vs | Roberts Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-13 | @ | Daemen | L | 60 - 86 |
| 2026-02-15 | @ | D'Youville | L | 60 - 65 |
| 2026-02-18 | @ | Queens (NY) | L | 69 - 82 |
| 2026-02-22 | vs | Molloy | L | 73 - 84 |
| 2026-02-25 | vs | Caldwell | W | 82 - 71 |
| 2026-02-28 | vs | St. Thomas Aquinas | L | 80 - 95 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kohen Rowbatham | - | 24 | 35.6 | 20.5 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 3.6 | 19.3 | 5.2 | - | - | - | - | 40.8 | 30.4 | 67.3 | - | 48.0 | 44.9 |
| TJ Holloway | - | 22 | 35.2 | 15.3 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 13.9 | 6.6 | - | - | - | - | 36.3 | 31.9 | 83.2 | - | 47.9 | 41.2 |
| Jordan Trahan | - | 22 | 34.0 | 15.0 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 12.6 | 10.6 | - | - | - | - | 42.1 | 24.5 | 57.6 | - | 48.3 | 44.4 |
| Ashton Pratt | - | 22 | 27.1 | 7.3 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 7.1 | 4.7 | - | - | - | - | 38.5 | 34.5 | 78.6 | - | 47.8 | 44.6 |
| Derek Long | - | 8 | 15.5 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.2 | 2.6 | - | - | - | - | 40.0 | 36.4 | 80.0 | - | 49.8 | 48.0 |
| Christopher Nana | - | 22 | 13.2 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 3.8 | - | - | - | - | 54.9 | 33.3 | 90.0 | - | 60.5 | 56.9 |
| Tyrell Miller | - | 24 | 18.9 | 2.8 | 5.0 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 7.2 | - | - | - | - | 44.8 | 0 | 26.9 | - | 42.7 | 44.8 |
| James Connolly | - | 25 | 12.2 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 3.3 | - | - | - | - | 48.0 | 37.5 | 66.7 | - | 54.9 | 51.0 |
| Joshua Naklen | - | 19 | 11.2 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 2.0 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 28.6 | 90.0 | - | 40.6 | 35.3 |
| Daniel Boateng | - | 20 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2.2 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 15.8 | 78.9 | - | 48.4 | 37.9 |
| Jeffrey Mulhern | - | 21 | 10.1 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | 29.2 | 27.8 | 66.7 | - | 37.5 | 34.4 |
| Thomas Mandell | - | 9 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 37.5 | 60.0 | 0 | - | 56.2 | 56.2 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG