🐻⬇️🏀

Mercer

Season: 2026 2023 2017
Also known as: Mercer
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1025 (#196) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1038 (#212) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1010 (#315) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +11.2 (#196) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.998 (#78) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +42.0 More → 0.998 (#62) NetEff +42.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +29.2 More → 0.967 (#125) AdjNet +29.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +29.5 More → 0.973 (#123) AdjNet +29.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 53.0 More → 0.840 (#132) AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 53.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 58.2 More → 0.683 (#94) AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 58.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.763 (#133) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.746 (#137) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 255 | GP 2 More → 1092 (#122) RD 255 | GP 2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-17 vs Erskine W 91 - 37
2026-01-02 vs AUM W 66 - 55

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Stephanie Utomi - 2 19.2 16.5 5.5 3.5 3.5 0.5 2.0 6.0 21.5 - - - 75.0 0 65.2 - 74.6 75.0
Nahawa Diarra - 1 26.9 14.0 11.0 7.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 20.0 14.0 - - - 30.0 0.0 50.0 - 32.2 30.0
Abigail Holtman - 2 30.1 12.5 6.5 2.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 12.5 9.0 - - - 36.0 25.0 75.0 - 46.7 44.0
Ariana Bennett - 2 25.4 12.5 7.0 0.5 1.5 0.5 1.0 11.0 10.0 - - - 50.0 0 75.0 - 52.6 50.0
Micah O'Dell - 1 25.4 9.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 9.0 1.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 100.0 - 43.6 33.3
Elena Cabello - 2 23.4 7.0 4.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 1.5 9.5 2.0 - - - 31.6 22.2 0 - 36.8 36.8
Remi-Hope Drantmann - 2 20.1 6.0 10.0 0.5 0.5 2.0 0.5 7.0 11.5 - - - 28.6 0 66.7 - 36.1 28.6
Talia Kemp - 2 19.4 4.5 2.0 3.5 2.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 7.0 - - - 66.7 100.0 0.0 - 69.9 75.0
Rania Curry - 2 21.2 4.0 2.5 1.5 2.0 1.0 2.0 4.5 4.5 - - - 44.4 0.0 0 - 44.4 44.4
Talia Harris - 1 13.4 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 37 1.5 4.7 66.7 0 0 1.98 66.7 66.7
Lex Brewster - 2 4.7 2.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 3.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Khadidja Toure - 1 7.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG