🐻⬇️🏀

Mercer

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Mercer Bears
Program History
Coach: Bob Hoffman

2015 Team Stats (1 games)

77.0
PPG
71.0
Opp
+6.0
Margin
43.5%
FG%
42.9%
3P%
70.5%
FT%
38.0
RPG
16.0
APG
15.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
62.5
Adj PPG
63.5
Adj Opp PPG
#178
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 983 (#187) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 960 (#207) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More → 1000 (#164) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -1.2 (#180) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → -0.2 (#175) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.591 (#122) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.1 More → 0.441 (#182) AdjNet -2.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.1 More → 0.440 (#182) AdjNet -2.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 63.5 More → 0.477 (#178) AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 63.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.5 | AdjD 63.5 More → 0.522 (#152) AdjO 64.5 | AdjD 63.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.478 (#177) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.487 (#170) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 107 | GP 33 More → 966 (#202) RD 107 | GP 33

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-14 vs Piedmont Lions W 88 - 48
2014-11-16 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 47 - 63
2014-11-19 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 74 - 66
2014-11-23 @ Colorado State Rams L 62 - 75
2014-11-27 vs Rice Owls W 77 - 71
2014-11-28 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos L 60 - 65
2014-11-29 vs Pacific Tigers L 48 - 55
2014-12-02 vs St. Andrews Knights W 62 - 33
2014-12-06 vs VMI Keydets W 90 - 81
2014-12-16 vs Dartmouth Big Green L 51 - 67
2014-12-19 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 67 - 46
2014-12-22 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 54 - 64
2014-12-27 @ Georgia Bulldogs L 77 - 86
2014-12-30 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 50 - 65
2015-01-03 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans W 76 - 55
2015-01-05 @ VMI Keydets W 85 - 75
2015-01-08 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 70 - 71
2015-01-10 vs The Citadel Bulldogs W 74 - 51
2015-01-15 vs Furman Paladins W 67 - 64
2015-01-17 vs Samford Bulldogs W 80 - 56
2015-01-22 @ Western Carolina Catamounts L 52 - 60
2015-01-29 vs Chattanooga Mocs W 75 - 72
2015-01-31 @ Wofford Terriers L 46 - 49
2015-02-05 @ The Citadel Bulldogs W 76 - 53
2015-02-07 @ Furman Paladins W 74 - 68
2015-02-12 vs Western Carolina Catamounts L 54 - 58
2015-02-14 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 55 - 50
2015-02-19 @ Chattanooga Mocs L 61 - 74
2015-02-21 @ Samford Bulldogs W 62 - 61
2015-02-26 vs Wofford Terriers L 72 - 76
2015-02-28 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 69 - 64
2015-03-07 vs VMI Keydets W 89 - 61
2015-03-08 vs Furman Paladins L 49 - 52
2015-03-18 vs Stony Brook Seawolves W 72 - 70
2015-03-23 vs UL Monroe Warhawks L 69 - 71

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ike Nwamu Ike Nwamu G 31 33.2 14.7 3.3 1.6 0.8 0.5 2.2 2.7 16.0 80 28 2.9 3.7 44.6 39.5 83.3 -0.89 237.5 54.8
Darious Moten Darious Moten F 28 27.8 11.5 4.4 1.2 0.8 1.0 1.3 0.9 16.6 118 25 4.7 7.2 50.0 33.3 88.9 2.11 535.7 51.9
T.J. Hallice T.J. Hallice F 31 33.2 8.9 6.6 1.3 0.8 0.6 1.0 1.3 16.0 118 28 4.2 5.4 48.7 0.0 65.2 1.77 279.9 48.7
Jibri Bryan Jibri Bryan G 31 29.6 8.1 4.4 1.2 1.3 0.3 1.4 1.5 12.4 139 28 5.0 7.2 37.0 34.3 75.0 0.42 237.6 50.0
Phillip Leonard Phillip Leonard G 31 26.4 7.9 3.4 4.3 0.8 0.0 1.8 1.1 13.6 144 28 5.1 8.3 38.2 0.0 58.6 1.24 262.0 38.2
Stephon Jelks Stephon Jelks F 27 13.2 5.1 3.4 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.6 0.4 8.7 - - - - 72.7 0.0 62.5 - 475.2 72.7
Jordan Strawberry Jordan Strawberry G 30 15.3 4.6 1.3 2.3 0.5 0.0 1.2 0.6 6.9 -68 27 -2.5 -7.4 44.4 57.1 100.0 -4.58 368.1 55.6
Jestin Lewis Jestin Lewis G 30 14.2 4.5 1.7 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.6 1.0 6.0 -23 28 -0.8 -2.6 37.9 38.9 77.8 -2.42 203.3 50.0
Niklas Ney Niklas Ney F 18 4.9 1.7 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 2.1 -10 17 -0.6 -5.2 37.5 0 87.5 -0.82 134.5 37.5
James Bento James Bento F 12 7.8 1.4 2.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 3.3 -36 11 -3.3 -16.1 25.0 0 100.0 -5.4 191.4 25.0
Lawrence Brown Lawrence Brown G 25 5.4 1.0 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 2.4 -10 23 -0.4 -4.0 33.3 0 0 -1.31 433.3 33.3
Matt Panaggio Matt Panaggio G 24 5.5 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.2 1.5 - - - - 40.0 66.7 0 - 180.0 60.0
Tyre Moore Tyre Moore - 11 2.1 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.5 - - - - 0 0 50.0 - 255.7 0
Demetre Rivers Demetre Rivers G 15 2.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 20 13 1.5 25.7 0.0 0.0 0 2.11 150.0 0.0
John Mosser John Mosser G 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG