🐻⬇️🏀

Memphis

Model Outputs

1995-1996
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1297 (#35) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1265 (#20) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +97 elo More → 1103 (#42) HCA +97 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.6 More → +14.0 (#26) HCA +3.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.4 More → +13.7 (#24) HCA +3.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.783 (#28) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +19.2 More → 0.902 (#27) AdjNet +19.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.4 More → 0.904 (#28) AdjNet +19.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.4 | AdjD 62.5 More → 0.764 (#28) AdjO 75.4 | AdjD 62.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 63.9 More → 0.700 (#25) AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 63.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.804 (#24) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.794 (#25) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 114 | GP 30 More → 1241 (#27) RD 114 | GP 30

1996 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1995-11-25 N Purdue W 91 - 76
1995-11-28 vs Jackson State W 90 - 67
1995-12-02 vs Florida A&M W 80 - 50
1995-12-05 vs Georgia State W 89 - 69
1995-12-16 vs Tennessee W 57 - 55
1995-12-21 vs Sam Houston W 74 - 51
1995-12-23 vs Louisiana–Monroe W 96 - 76
1995-12-28 vs Temple W 68 - 58
1996-01-04 @ Massachusetts L 61 - 64
1996-01-06 @ Houston L 67 - 69
1996-01-08 vs Charlotte W 57 - 55
1996-01-11 vs DePaul W 74 - 55
1996-01-14 @ South Florida W 60 - 59
1996-01-18 vs Arkansas W 94 - 72
1996-01-20 @ Marquette L 55 - 59
1996-01-24 vs UAB W 86 - 77
1996-01-27 @ Southern Mississippi W 81 - 68
1996-01-30 vs Saint Louis W 80 - 63
1996-02-01 @ DePaul W 83 - 82
1996-02-03 @ Louisville L 56 - 74
1996-02-08 @ Charlotte W 68 - 55
1996-02-17 @ Georgetown L 60 - 81
1996-02-20 vs Southern Mississippi W 91 - 66
1996-02-22 @ Chattanooga W 63 - 55
1996-02-25 vs Louisville W 57 - 54
1996-02-29 @ Cincinnati L 66 - 71
1996-03-02 vs Tulane W 86 - 75
1996-03-07 vs DePaul W 92 - 69
1996-03-08 vs Marquette L 60 - 72
1996-03-14 N Drexel L 63 - 75

1996 Roster

No roster data available for this season.