🐻⬇️🏀

Memphis

Model Outputs

1994-1995
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1288 (#35) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1233 (#32) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More → 1136 (#22) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.5 More → +13.8 (#31) HCA +3.5
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +14.6 (#22) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.788 (#33) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +18.0 More → 0.888 (#34) AdjNet +18.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +18.3 More → 0.892 (#34) AdjNet +18.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 79.7 | AdjD 66.8 More → 0.763 (#30) AdjO 79.7 | AdjD 66.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 78.0 | AdjD 68.1 More → 0.710 (#23) AdjO 78.0 | AdjD 68.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.812 (#26) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.803 (#25) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 34 More → 1238 (#26) RD 96 | GP 34

1995 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1994-11-16 vs Louisiana W 70 - 66
1994-11-17 vs San Francisco W 94 - 82
1994-11-18 N New Mexico State L 78 - 81
1994-11-19 N George Washington L 60 - 69
1994-12-03 vs Jackson State W 94 - 59
1994-12-07 vs Georgia State W 124 - 52
1994-12-10 N Georgetown L 80 - 83
1994-12-17 @ Tennessee W 50 - 46
1994-12-19 vs Florida A&M W 119 - 54
1994-12-21 vs Nicholls State W 92 - 72
1994-12-23 vs Louisiana–Monroe W 100 - 79
1994-12-29 @ Illinois L 76 - 86
1995-01-03 vs Houston W 96 - 77
1995-01-05 vs Chattanooga W 82 - 76
1995-01-08 @ DePaul W 77 - 69
1995-01-14 vs DePaul W 76 - 64
1995-01-17 vs Southern Mississippi W 81 - 71
1995-01-21 @ UAB L 63 - 80
1995-01-25 vs Saint Louis W 84 - 80
1995-01-28 vs UAB W 74 - 67
1995-02-03 vs Cincinnati W 74 - 69
1995-02-05 @ Temple W 53 - 51
1995-02-09 @ Arkansas L 87 - 88
1995-02-11 @ Saint Louis L 52 - 68
1995-02-16 @ Dayton W 68 - 61
1995-02-18 vs Marquette W 77 - 71
1995-02-20 vs Long Beach State W 82 - 73
1995-02-28 vs Dayton W 87 - 60
1995-03-02 @ Cincinnati W 83 - 73
1995-03-04 @ Marquette L 61 - 80
1995-03-10 N Cincinnati L 64 - 77
1995-03-17 N Louisville W 77 - 56
1995-03-19 N Purdue W 75 - 73
1995-03-24 N Arkansas L 91 - 96

1995 Roster

No roster data available for this season.