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Memphis

Model Outputs

1993-1994
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1131 (#80) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1015 (#148) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +119 elo More โ†’ 1001 (#152) HCA +119 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.9 More โ†’ +4.8 (#96) HCA +3.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +7.0 (#74) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.482 (#167) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.0 More โ†’ 0.692 (#90) AdjNet +7.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.1 More โ†’ 0.696 (#90) AdjNet +7.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.1 | AdjD 68.8 More โ†’ 0.596 (#98) AdjO 73.1 | AdjD 68.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 68.5 More โ†’ 0.592 (#80) AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 68.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.617 (#101) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.616 (#96) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 128 | GP 29 More โ†’ 1060 (#109) RD 128 | GP 29

1994 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1993-11-26 vs Alcorn State W 92 - 59
1993-12-02 vs Tennessee W 83 - 64
1993-12-08 vs Arkansas L 78 - 96
1993-12-11 vs Georgia State W 66 - 55
1993-12-18 vs Florida International W 86 - 69
1993-12-20 vs UTSA W 78 - 72
1993-12-23 @ Louisiana L 79 - 82
1993-12-27 vs Jackson State L 74 - 79
1993-12-30 vs Georgetown L 78 - 94
1994-01-05 @ Marquette L 67 - 79
1994-01-08 vs DePaul L 61 - 69
1994-01-11 @ Saint Louis L 59 - 86
1994-01-16 @ UAB L 57 - 85
1994-01-19 @ Murray State L 77 - 82
1994-01-23 vs Cincinnati W 62 - 55
1994-01-29 vs Marquette L 46 - 51
1994-02-03 @ Cincinnati L 64 - 69
1994-02-05 @ Dayton W 94 - 78
1994-02-09 vs Dayton W 84 - 71
1994-02-12 vs UAB W 58 - 53
1994-02-16 @ Southern Mississippi L 67 - 76
1994-02-21 @ Long Beach State L 58 - 80
1994-02-24 vs Little Rock W 85 - 66
1994-02-26 vs Saint Louis L 66 - 71
1994-03-02 vs Southeast Missouri State W 109 - 83
1994-03-05 @ DePaul L 53 - 65
1994-03-10 N UAB W 91 - 86
1994-03-11 N Saint Louis W 73 - 62
1994-03-12 @ Cincinnati L 47 - 68

1994 Roster

No roster data available for this season.