Memphis
Model Outputs
1993-1994
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1131 (#80) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1015 (#148) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1001 (#152) | HCA +119 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +4.8 (#96) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +7.0 (#74) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.482 (#167) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.692 (#90) | AdjNet +7.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.696 (#90) | AdjNet +7.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.596 (#98) | AdjO 73.1 | AdjD 68.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.592 (#80) | AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 68.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.617 (#101) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.616 (#96) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1060 (#109) | RD 128 | GP 29 |
1994 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1993-11-26 | vs | Alcorn State | W | 92 - 59 |
| 1993-12-02 | vs | Tennessee | W | 83 - 64 |
| 1993-12-08 | vs | Arkansas | L | 78 - 96 |
| 1993-12-11 | vs | Georgia State | W | 66 - 55 |
| 1993-12-18 | vs | Florida International | W | 86 - 69 |
| 1993-12-20 | vs | UTSA | W | 78 - 72 |
| 1993-12-23 | @ | Louisiana | L | 79 - 82 |
| 1993-12-27 | vs | Jackson State | L | 74 - 79 |
| 1993-12-30 | vs | Georgetown | L | 78 - 94 |
| 1994-01-05 | @ | Marquette | L | 67 - 79 |
| 1994-01-08 | vs | DePaul | L | 61 - 69 |
| 1994-01-11 | @ | Saint Louis | L | 59 - 86 |
| 1994-01-16 | @ | UAB | L | 57 - 85 |
| 1994-01-19 | @ | Murray State | L | 77 - 82 |
| 1994-01-23 | vs | Cincinnati | W | 62 - 55 |
| 1994-01-29 | vs | Marquette | L | 46 - 51 |
| 1994-02-03 | @ | Cincinnati | L | 64 - 69 |
| 1994-02-05 | @ | Dayton | W | 94 - 78 |
| 1994-02-09 | vs | Dayton | W | 84 - 71 |
| 1994-02-12 | vs | UAB | W | 58 - 53 |
| 1994-02-16 | @ | Southern Mississippi | L | 67 - 76 |
| 1994-02-21 | @ | Long Beach State | L | 58 - 80 |
| 1994-02-24 | vs | Little Rock | W | 85 - 66 |
| 1994-02-26 | vs | Saint Louis | L | 66 - 71 |
| 1994-03-02 | vs | Southeast Missouri State | W | 109 - 83 |
| 1994-03-05 | @ | DePaul | L | 53 - 65 |
| 1994-03-10 | N | UAB | W | 91 - 86 |
| 1994-03-11 | N | Saint Louis | W | 73 - 62 |
| 1994-03-12 | @ | Cincinnati | L | 47 - 68 |
1994 Roster
No roster data available for this season.