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Memphis

Model Outputs

1992-1993
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1224 (#49) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1167 (#55) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +108 elo More โ†’ 1058 (#78) HCA +108 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +11.9 (#37) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ +12.8 (#34) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.652 (#77) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +15.9 More โ†’ 0.863 (#37) AdjNet +15.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.2 More โ†’ 0.866 (#36) AdjNet +16.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.2 | AdjD 65.5 More โ†’ 0.727 (#37) AdjO 76.2 | AdjD 65.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 65.5 More โ†’ 0.672 (#39) AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 65.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.756 (#37) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.747 (#41) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 114 | GP 30 More โ†’ 1175 (#47) RD 114 | GP 30

1993 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1992-12-02 @ Arkansas L 76 - 81
1992-12-06 @ Tennessee L 59 - 70
1992-12-09 vs Tulane L 85 - 86
1992-12-11 vs Louisiana W 91 - 85
1992-12-18 vs Jackson State W 81 - 78
1992-12-22 N Brigham Young L 67 - 73
1992-12-23 N Louisiana State W 70 - 66
1992-12-28 vs Robert Morris W 78 - 63
1992-12-31 @ Minnesota L 55 - 70
1993-01-04 vs Georgia State W 97 - 76
1993-01-06 vs Vanderbilt W 84 - 78
1993-01-09 @ DePaul W 95 - 93
1993-01-11 vs Southeastern Louisiana W 109 - 58
1993-01-16 vs UAB L 47 - 50
1993-01-18 vs Tennessee Tech W 101 - 71
1993-01-21 @ Missouri W 64 - 56
1993-01-23 @ Marquette L 66 - 78
1993-01-30 @ UAB W 69 - 53
1993-02-06 vs Cincinnati W 68 - 66
1993-02-10 vs Southern Mississippi W 95 - 82
1993-02-14 vs DePaul W 79 - 57
1993-02-17 @ Saint Louis W 77 - 69
1993-02-21 N Arizona State L 76 - 89
1993-02-24 @ Temple L 58 - 65
1993-02-27 vs Marquette W 68 - 63
1993-03-01 vs Saint Louis W 75 - 72
1993-03-06 @ Cincinnati L 55 - 78
1993-03-12 vs Saint Louis W 73 - 65
1993-03-13 vs Cincinnati L 72 - 77
1993-03-18 N Western Kentucky L 52 - 55

1993 Roster

No roster data available for this season.